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Florida vs Iowa Prediction 3/22/26 College Basketball Picks Today

Iowa (22-12) vs. Florida (27-7)
March 22, 2026 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: Florida -10.5; Over/Under: 145.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Iowa Hawkeyes and Florida Gators meet Sunday in the college basketball NCAA Tournament at the Benchmark International Arena. Here’s a Florida vs. Iowa Prediction. This article will include a Florida vs. Iowa Pick.

Iowa Hawkeyes Betting Preview

The Iowa Hawkeyes lost to Ohio State and beat Clemson. Iowa has lost 7 of its last 11 games.

The Iowa Hawkeyes are averaging 75.5 points on 49 percent shooting and allowing 65.9 points on 45.9 percent shooting. Bennett Stirtz is averaging 19.9 points and 2.6 rebounds, while Tavion Banks is averaging 10.3 points and 4.7 rebounds. Alvaro Folgueiras is grabbing 3.8 rebounds, and Cooper Koch is dishing 1.1 assists. The Iowa Hawkeyes are shooting 35.3 percent from beyond the arc and 77.5 percent from the free throw line. The Iowa Hawkeyes are allowing 33.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 27.1 rebounds per game.

Florida Gators Betting Preview

The Florida Gators beat Prairie View A&M and lost to Vanderbilt. Florida has won 13 of its last 14 games.

The Florida Gators are averaging 90.7 points on 48.2 percent shooting and allowing 74.1 points on 40.6 percent shooting. Thomas Haugh is averaging 17 points and 6.2 rebounds, while Alex Condon is averaging 14.9 points and 7.5 rebounds. Boogie Fland is the third double-digit scorer and Xaivian Lee is grabbing 3.7 rebounds. The Florida Gators are shooting 31.3 percent from beyond the arc and 70.8 percent from the free throw line. The Florida Gators are allowing 32.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44 rebounds per game.

Why the Florida Gators will win

  • Florida has won each of its last 15 night games as a top-10 AP-ranked team.
  • Iowa has lost each of its last nine games against Top 5 AP-ranked opponents.
  • Florida has won the first half in each of its last nine March night games as an AP-ranked team.

Why the Iowa Hawkeyes will win

  • Iowa has won 14 of its last 15 games against non-Conference opponents.
  • Iowa has won the first half in 13 of its last 14 night games against non-Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Florida’s last seven NCAA Tournament games against a lower seed have produced a total of 152+ points.
  • Each of Iowa’s last six games at a neutral venue has produced a total of 143 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Florida ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (45.5).
  • Florida ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for rebound percentage this season (59.3%).
  • Iowa ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (49.3).
  • Iowa ranks 364th among Division 1 teams for pace this season (62.6).

Florida vs Iowa Prediction

Iowa defends and rebounds well enough to hang around, but I question where the offense is going to come from. Also, iowa was inconsistent this season, limping into the tournament and suffering that ugly loss to Penn State a month ago. Iowa just hasn’t been able to string things together for long stretches and Florida will be one of the best teams it’s seen all year. If the first round is a sign of things to come, the Gators have spooky potential. There’s just a gap in talent and depth between these teams. I’ll lay the points with Florida.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Florida -10.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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