Michigan State vs Indiana Prediction 1/13/26 College Basketball Picks Today
Indiana (12-4) vs. Michigan State (14-2)
January 13, 2026 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Michigan State -7.5; Over/Under: 142.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Indiana Hoosiers and Michigan State Spartans meet Tuesday in the college basketball action at the Breslin Center. Here’s a Michigan State vs Indiana Prediction. This article will include a Michigan State vs Indiana Pick.
Indiana Hoosiers Betting Preview
The Indiana Hoosiers beat Maryland, lost to Nebraska, and they play Iowa next. Indiana has won 5 of its last 7 games.
The Indiana Hoosiers are averaging 84.5 points on 48.3 percent shooting and allowing 66 points on 39.7 percent shooting. Lamar Wilkerson is averaging 20.3 points and 3.3 rebounds, while Tucker DeVries is averaging 14.9 points and 2.8 assists. Tayton Conerway is the third double-digit scorer and Reed Bailey is grabbing 4.5 rebounds. The Indiana Hoosiers are shooting 36.3 percent from beyond the arc and 78.2 percent from the free throw line. The Indiana Hoosiers are allowing 29.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32.9 rebounds per game.
Michigan State Spartans Betting Preview
The Michigan State Spartans beat USC and Northwestern, and they play Washington next. Michigan State has won 6 of its last 7 games.
The Michigan State Spartans are averaging 78.9 points on 46.5 percent shooting and allowing 64.5 points on 38.4 percent shooting. Jaxon Kohler is averaging 14.3 points and 1.3 assists, while Jeremy Fears Jr. is averaging 12.1 points and 2.7 rebounds. Coen Carr is the third double-digit scorer and Carson Cooper is grabbing 7.3 rebounds. The Michigan State Spartans are shooting 35.9 percent from beyond the arc and 73 percent from the free throw line. The Michigan State Spartans are allowing 30.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 39.9 rebounds per game.
Why the Michigan State Spartans will win
- Michigan State has won each of its last 16 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- Indiana has lost 15 of its last 17 games against AP-ranked opponents.
- Michigan State has won the first half in 10 of its last 11 January night games as an AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team.
Why the Indiana Hoosiers will win
- Indiana has won nine of its last 11 night games.
- Indiana has won the first half in each of its last seven games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Michigan State’s last seven games against Conference opponents at Jack Breslin Student Events Center have produced a total of 142 or fewer points.
- Each of Indiana’s last four games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 150+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Michigan State ranks 3rd among Division 1 teams for rebound percentage this season (59.5%).
- Michigan State ranks T4th among Division 1 teams for opponent rebounds per game this season (29.0).
- Indiana ranks T8th among Division 1 teams for opponent assists per game this season (9.8).
- Indiana ranks 11th among Division 1 teams for free throw percentage this season (78.2%).
Michigan State vs Indiana Prediction
Michigan State should get the benefit of the doubt at home and outside of a win over a bad Maryland side, we haven’t seen Indiana do much on the road. The Hoosiers have some showing and proving to do, and this could be a spot where MSU just bullies its way in the paint. However, Indiana shoots elite percentages across the floor and when the lack of outside shooting from Michigan State, this could spell trouble for Sparty if those shots are falling.
Indiana could control the pace and make Michigan State uncomfortable if shots are falling. There’s also something about getting a bunch of free buckets with a top tier offensive team that always tickles my fancy. Give me the points with Indiana.
