Michigan State vs Toledo Prediction 12/16/25 College Basketball Picks Today

The Toledo Rockets and the Michigan State Spartans meet Tuesday in college basketball action from the Breslin Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Toledo Rockets vs. Michigan State Spartans prediction.

Toledo Rockets Recap

The Toledo Rockets come into this game looking to shake off a 75-70 loss at the hands of Robert Morris last time out to sit at 5-5 this season. After this game, Toledo will head home for a game against subdivision Lourdes.

Rockets Drop Back-To-Back Games

Sonny Wilson leads the Rockets in scoring with 16.1 PPG along with 3.3 RPG and 3.6 APG while Leroy Blyden Jr. has 14 PPG with 2.9 RPG and a team-high 4.9 APG and 2 SPG to lead Toledo in assists and steals. Sean Craig has 13.8 PPG with a team-high 7.8 RPG to lead the Rockets in rebounding while Austin Parks has 12 PPG with 5.5 RPG and Kyler Vanderjagt has 11.1 PPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Toledo so far this season. As a team, Toledo is averaging 82.6 PPG on 47.9% shooting from the field, 34.2% from three and 78.7% from the foul line this season.

Why the Toledo Rockets will win

• Toledo has won four of its last five night games.

Michigan State Spartans Recap

The Michigan State Spartans come into this game looking to add on to their 76-72 win over Penn State last time out to sit at 9-1 this season. After this game, Michigan State will head home for a game against Oakland.

Spartans Bounce Back From Duke Loss

Jaxon Kohler leads the Spartans in scoring and rebounding with 13.8 PPG and 9.8 RPG while Jeremy Fears Jr. has 11.2 PPG with 3.2 RPG and a team-high 9.7 APG to lead the Spartans in assists so far this season. Coen Carr’s added 10.3 PPG with 4.8 RPG and Carson Cooper’s chipped in 10.3 PPG with 7 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Michigan State so far this season. Cam Ward also has 7.2 PPG with 4.2 RPG as well this season. As a team, Michigan State is averaging 76.5 PPG on 45.5% shooting from the field, 35.7% from three and 74.1% from the foul line this season.

Why the Michigan State Spartans will win

• Michigan State has won each of its last 14 night games against non-Conference opponents at Jack Breslin Student Events Center.
• Toledo has lost each of its last three games against non-Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Michigan State’s last 14 games have produced a total of 149 or fewer points.
• Each of Toledo’s last eight Tuesday games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 152+ points.

Toledo Rockets vs. Michigan State Spartans Prediction

I’m on Michigan State here. The Spartans historically haven’t been the kind of team that blows inferior competition out of the water, but that’s still a rock solid group that Tom Izzo has and the Rockets have had issues in road spots and step up spots this season. Toledo’s defense has also been leaky and has given up a lot of two-point buckets, and that’s where this Michigan State offense thrives and lives. I think Michigan State’s size ends up being too much for the Rockets to contend with here. Give me Michigan State.