College Basketball Picks

North Carolina vs Alabama Prediction 3-28-24 College Basketball Picks

Alabama Crimson Tide (23-11) vs. North Carolina Tar Heels (29-7)
March 28, 2024 9:39 pm EDT
The Line: North Carolina Tar Heels -4.5; Over/Under: +173.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate an Alabama vs North Carolina betting prediction for this NCAA Tournament college basketball game on Thursday, March 28th at Arena in Los Angeles, California. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

  • The Alabama recent form and recent player performance 
  • The North Carolina recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Alabama
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving North Carolina
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Alabama and North Carolina
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Alabama and North Carolina

Alabama Preview

The Alabama Crimson Tide are 23-11 (13-5) this year after they beat Grand Canyon by a score of 72-61 in their last game. Alabama led 38-30 at halftime and they were able to hold on in the second half for the win. The Crimson Tide shot 36.9% from the field and were +9 in rebounding margin in the game. Alabama defeated Charleston by a score of 109-96 in their first NCAA Tournament game and they have won three of their last four games. The Crimson Tide are scoring 90.7 points per game with 39.7 rebounds per game and 16 assists per game, while allowing 80.9 points against per game this year. Mark Sears is averaging 21.5 points per game, 4.2 rebounds per game, and 4.2 assists per game. Alabama is shooting 47.7% from the field, 78.4% on free throws, and 36.5% on three pointers this season. 

North Carolina Preview

The North Carolina Tar Heels are 29-7 (17-3) this season after they defeated Michigan State by a score of 85-69 in their last game. North Carolina led 40-31 at the half and they scored 45 points in the second half in the win. The Tar Heels shot 46.7% from the field and made 10 three pointers in the game. North Carolina defeated Wagner by a score of 90-62 in the first round of the NCAA Tournament and they have won 10 of their last 11 games. The Tar Heels are scoring 81.8 points per game with 40.9 rebounds per game and 14.4 assists per game, while giving up 70 points against per game this season. RJ Davis is averaging 21.3 points per game, 3.6 rebounds per game, and 3.4 assists per game. North Carolina is shooting 44.9% from the field, 75.4% on free throws, and 35.4% on three pointers this year. North Carolina lost three non-conference games this season; one of them came to UConn.

North Carolina Tar Heels Team Facts

  • North Carolina has won each of its last eight games when playing with a rest advantage.
  • Each of North Carolina’s last 22 night games at a neutral venue have produced a total of 170 or fewer points.
  • North Carolina has lost the first half in each of its last six games against the Southeastern Conference at neutral venues.

Alabama Crimson Tide Team Facts

  • Alabama has lost seven of its last eight night games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents.
  • Each of Alabama’s last seven night games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 173 or fewer points.
  • Alabama has won the first half in each of its last four games against non-Conference opponents.

Alabama vs North Carolina Betting Prediction

North Carolina comes into this matchup as the #1 seed in the region, but they will play a very tough Alabama team here. The Crimson Tide are one of the highest scoring teams in the country, but they don’t play much defense. Alabama did not play well against Grand Canyon in their last game and they were lucky the Lopes had an off shooting night. North Carolina rolled to a victory against Wagner in their first game and overcame a first half deficit to blow out Michigan State in their last game, and they are looking like one of the best teams in the field. The Tar Heels are very sharp on both ends of the court and rely on very solid rebounding. Alabama can stay with any opponent because of their offense, but their poor defensive play is going to be a problem here. Take the Tar Heels to pull away in the second half once again. The winner of this clash will play against Clemson or Arizona in the next round.

David Racey's Free Pick: North Carolina -4.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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