College Basketball Picks

UConn vs San Diego State Prediction 3-28-24 College Basketball Picks

San Diego State Aztecs (26-10) vs. Connecticut Huskies (33-3)
March 28, 2024 7:39 pm EDT
The Line: Connecticut Huskies -11.5; Over/Under: +135.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a UConn vs San Diego State prediction for this college basketball showdown on Thursday, March 28th in the Sweet 16 at the TD Garden. We will take a look at: 

-The San Diego State Aztecs recent form and recent player performance

-The UConn Huskies recent form and recent player performance

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for today’s game between San Diego State and Uconn.

San Diego State Dominated Last Game

After being tested in the first game against UAB, San Diego State really put on a show in the Round of 32 against the Yale Bulldogs, San Diego State scored 85 points and ended up winning by 28 points. San Diego State shot 52.7 percent from the field and 48.1 percent from behind the three point line. Jaedon LeDee had a strong game, putting up 26 points, nine rebounds, and one assist. San Diego State is averaging 74.7 points, while their defense is giving up 68.3 points per game. LeDee has been the top player, averaging 21.5 points while shooting 56.4 percent from the field. 

Can UConn Continue to Run Hot?

UConn has looked impressive in the first two games of the NCAA tournament, but this isn’t a game they should overlook, or they could be upset in their own backyard. In the last game against Northwestern, UConn gave up only 58 points, and they are going to need the defense to step up again here. Tristen Newton was the top player for UConn putting up 20 points, 10 assists, and three rebounds. UConn is averaging 81.6 points, while their defense is giving up 63.9 points per game. Tristen Newton is averaging 15.2 points while shooting 42 percent from the field and 32.1 percent from behind the three-point line. UConn suffered only one non-conference defeat this year (Kansas), but won several big games, including the victory over North Carolina.

Connecticut Huskies Team Facts

  • Connecticut has won each of its last 15 games played at neutral venues.
  • Six of Connecticut’s last seven NCAA Tournament night games against a lower seed have produced a total of 133 or fewer points.
  • Connecticut has won the first half in each of its last 14 games played at neutral venues.

San Diego State Aztecs Team Facts

  • San Diego State has won 12 of its last 13 games against non-Conference opponents.
  • Four of San Diego State’s last five games against AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 143+ points.
  • San Diego State has won the first half in each of its last six games against non-Conference opponents.

San Diego State vs UConn Betting Prediction

UConn has looked good in each of the first two games, and it’s going to be much of the same here. San Diego State is averaging 74.7 points per game, but they are going to struggle to get the offense going against a UConn defense that has a lot of confidence right now. San Diego State’s offense won’t be keeping up here, and it will be UConn gets the job done. Back UConn to win this game and cover the spread here. The winner of this game will take on Illinois or Iowa State in the next round.

Shane Mickle's Free Pick: UConn -11.5

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Shane Mickle

Sports is about all Shane knows in this life! He has a passion for sports and writing, which makes working for Sportschatplace a perfect job for him! If you find him cheering for a team it's usually a Minnesota team, or the Kansas Jayhawks!

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