North Texas vs Memphis Prediction 2/12/26 College Basketball Picks Today
Memphis (12-11) vs. North Texas (13-11)
February 12, 2026 9:00 pm EDT
The Line: North Texas +2.5; Over/Under: 137.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article we will formulate a North Texas vs Memphis prediction for this College Basketball game on Thursday, February 12th at The Super Pit in Denton, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.
North Texas Mean Green Betting Preview
The North Texas Mean Green are 13-11 (4-7) this season after they defeated UTSA by a score of 81-58 in their last game. North Texas led 34-26 at halftime and they added 47 points in the second half for the blowout win. The Mean Green shot 44% from the field, 22% on three pointers, and 83% on free throws in the game. Cole Franklin led North Texas with 21 points and seven rebounds, while Dylan Arnett added 14 points and 12 rebounds in the win.
Prior to that game, North Texas lost to Rice by a score of 86-83 and UAB by a score of 72-68. The Mean Green have scored 70.6 points per game with 34.6 rebounds and 12.9 assists per game, while they have allowed 66.2 points against per game this season. Je’Shawn Stevenson is averaging 17.0 points and 3.4 rebounds per game, while David Terrell Jr is averaging 12.9 points and 4.8 assists per game for the Mean Green. North Texas is shooting 42.9% from the field, 69.4% on free throws, and 30.4% on three pointers this season.
Memphis Tigers Betting Preview
The Memphis Tigers are 12-11 (7-4) this year after they defeated Charlotte by a score of 77-54 in their last game. Memphis led 37-17 at halftime and they added 40 points in the second half in the easy win. The Tigers shot 46% from the field, 30% on three pointers, and 72% on free throws in the game. Aaron Bradshaw led Memphis with 16 points and six rebounds, while Julius Thedford added 11 points and 11 rebounds in the win.
Prior to that game, Memphis defeated UAB by a score of 90-80, but lost to Tulane by a score of 78-76 before that. The Tigers have scored 75.0 points per game with 37.4 rebounds and 14.1 assists per game, while they have allowed 72.6 points against per game this season. Dug McDaniel is averaging 13.2 points and 4.7 assists per game, while Sincere Parker is averaging 11.3 points and 3.1 rebounds per game for the Tigers. Memphis is shooting 43.8% from the field, 71.5% on free throws, and 32.3% on three pointers this year.
Why the North Texas Mean Green will win
- North Texas has won each of its last 14 Thursday night games.
- Memphis has lost three of its last four road games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- North Texas has won the first half in each of its last nine night games at The Super Pit.
Why the Memphis Tigers will win
- Memphis has won 10 of its last 11 night games against Conference opponents.
- North Texas has lost five of its last six night games.
- Memphis has won the first half in seven of its last eight night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Fourteen of Memphis’ last 15 road night games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 140+ points.
- Eight of North Texas’ last nine games at The Super Pit have produced a total of 139+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
- North Texas ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for opponent assist to turnover ratio this season (0.66).
- North Texas ranks 7th among Division 1 teams for steals per game this season (9.9).
- Memphis ranks 17th among Division 1 teams for steals per game this season (9.4).
- Memphis ranks 20th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point percentage this season (29.7%).
North Texas vs Memphis Prediction
Memphis comes into this matchup after winning three of their last four games, but they will be on the road here. The Tigers are shooting 44% from the field and they have scored at least 76 points in four straight games. North Texas snapped their losing streak with a win over UTSA last time out, but they have allowed 82+ in two of their last four games. The Mean Green are shooting 43% from the field and they have scored fewer than 70 points in three of their last five. Neither team shoots the ball very well, but I am going to back North Texas and their low scoring style at home.
