UCF vs Oklahoma State Prediction 3/5/25 College Basketball Picks Today
Oklahoma State (14-15) vs. UCF (15-14)
March 5, 2025 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: UCF -5.5; Over/Under: 165.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Oklahoma State Cowboys and UCF Knights meet Wednesday in college basketball action at the Addition Financial Arena. Here’s a UCF vs Oklahoma State Prediction. This article will include a UCF vs Oklahoma State Pick.
Oklahoma State Cowboys Betting Preview
The Oklahoma State Cowboys lost to Baylor, beat Iowa State, and they play Cincinnati next. Oklahoma State hopes to get back to a .500 record but has lost eight of its last 12 games.
The Oklahoma State Cowboys are averaging 72.7 points on 42.5 percent shooting and allowing 76.2 points on 46.2 percent shooting. Bryce Thompson is averaging 12.6 points and 2.8 rebounds, while Abou Ousmane is averaging 12.1 points and 5.4 rebounds. Marchelus Avery is the third double-digit scorer and Arturo Dean is grabbing 2.8 rebounds. The Oklahoma State Cowboys are shooting 31.6 percent from beyond the arc and 72.4 percent from the free throw line. The Oklahoma State Cowboys are allowing 35.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31 rebounds per game.
UCF Knights Betting Preview
The UCF Knights beat Kansas State, lost to TCU, and they play West Virginia next. It’s senior night for a UCF roster that has five seniors.
The UCF Knights are averaging 78.9 points on 42.1 percent shooting and allowing 80.4 points on 45.6 percent shooting. Keyshawn Hall is averaging 18.9 points and 2.3 assists, while Darius Johnson is averaging 15.4 points and 3.2 rebounds. Jordan Ivy-Curry is the third double-digit scorer and Moustapha Thiam is grabbing 5.9 rebounds. The UCF Knights are shooting 32.9 percent from beyond the arc and 77.7 percent from the free throw line. The UCF Knights are allowing 33.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32.2 rebounds per game.
Why the UCF Knights will win
- Oklahoma State has lost each of its last seven road games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- The home team has won 10 of Oklahoma State’s last 11 games.
- Oklahoma State has lost the first half in each of its last seven road games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Why the Oklahoma State Cowboys will win
- UCF has lost five of its last six night games.
- UCF has lost the first half in six of its last eight games against the Big 12 Conference.
Total Points Facts
- Sixty-five of Oklahoma State’s last 67 night games have produced a total of 165 or fewer points.
- Thirty-one of UCF’s last 33 games at Addition Financial Arena have produced a total of 160 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- UCF ranks 14th among Division 1 teams for free throws made per game this season (17.4).
- UCF ranks 18th among Division 1 teams for pace this season (71.8).
- Oklahoma State ranks 10th among Division 1 teams for free throws made per game this season (17.8).
- Oklahoma State ranks 12th among Division 1 teams for free throw attempts per game this season (24.6).
UCF vs Oklahoma State Injury Report
Oklahoma State doesn’t have a player listed on its injury report. UCF will be without Cameron Simpson and Jaylin Sellers, while Rokas Jocius is questionable with a foot injury.
UCF vs Oklahoma State Prediction
UCF is at its best at home, where 12 of its 15 wins have come, and the Knights will want this one on senior night. However, UCF doesn’t play enough defense to trust in the favorite role. UCF isn’t winning games lately, let alone by a margin, as the Knights are 2-8 SU and ATS in their last 10 games. Oklahoma State has been hit or miss all year, but it recently beat Iowa State as a double-digit underdog and beat UCF a couple of weeks ago at home. In the victory, Oklahoma State scored 104 points on 47 percent shooting from the field. These are two bottom-feeding teams in the Big 12, so I’m not thrilled about laying points with either side. I’ll grab the points with Oklahoma State on the road.
