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Cincinnati vs Kansas State Prediction 3/5/25 College Basketball Picks Today

Kansas State (14-15) vs. Cincinnati (17-12)
March 5, 2025 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Cincinnati -9.5; Over/Under: 136
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Cincinnati vs Kansas State prediction for this College Basketball game on Wednesday, March 5th at Fifth Third Arena in Cincinnati, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Cincinnati Bearcats Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Bearcats are 17-12 (7-11) this year after they lost to Houston by a score of 73-64 in their last game. Cincinnati trailed 37-25 at halftime, but they did score 39 points in the second half in the loss. The Bearcats shot 44.1% from the field, 30% on three-pointers, and 75% on free throws in the game. Day Day Thomas led Cincinnati with 19 points and three rebounds, while Jizzle James added 18 points and five assists in the game. 


Prior to that loss, the Bearcats defeated Baylor by a score of 69-67 and TCU by a score of 75-63. Cincinnati has lost three of their last five games and they are currently 12th in the Big 12 standings with a 7-11 record. Cincinnati has scored 71.3 points per game and they have allowed 65.3 points per game, while also averaging 34.5 rebounds and 13.7 assists per game this season. Jizzle James is averaging 12.8 points, 3.0 rebounds, and 3.8 assists per game, while Simas Lukosius is averaging 11.1 points, 3.0 rebounds, and 2.2 assists per game this year. Cincinnati is shooting 45.5% from the field, 66.7% on free throws, and 33.2% on three-pointers this season. After this game, Cincinnati will head on the road for a game against the Oklahoma State Cowboys to close out the regular season. 

Kansas State Wildcats Betting Preview

The Kansas State Wildcats are 14-15 (8-10) this season after they defeated Colorado by a score of 65-56 in their last game. Kansas State led 33-22 at halftime, but they were outscored 34-32 in the second half in the win. The Wildcats shot 34.4% from the field, 33.3% on three-pointers, and 84.2% on free throws in the game. David N’Guessan led Kansas State with 21 points and eight rebounds, while Brendan Hausen added 11 points and three rebounds in the win. 

Prior to that game, the Wildcats lost to UCF by a score of 80-76 and Arizona State by a score of 66-54. Kansas State has lost four of their last five games and they are currently 11th in the Big 12 standings with an 8-10 record. Kansas State has scored 72.6 points per game and they have allowed 70.0 points per game, while also averaging 34.0 rebounds and 16.1 assists per game this season. David N’Guessan is averaging 13.0 points, 7.1 rebounds, and 1.4 assists per game, while Brendan Hausen is averaging 11.7 points, 2.5 rebounds, and 1.0 assists per game this year. Kansas State is shooting 44.5% from the field, 69.1% on free throws, and 34.2% on three-pointers this season. 

Why Cincinnati will beat Kansas State

  • Cincinnati has won 28 of its last 30 night games at Fifth Third Arena against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Kansas State has lost nine of its last 10 road games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • The home team has won the first half in each of Cincinnati’s last four games.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Kansas State’s last six night games against the Big 12 Conference has produced a total of 141+ points.
  • Five of Cincinnati’s last six home night games against the Big 12 Conference have produced a total of 146+ points.

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Cincinnati vs Kansas State Prediction 

Kansas State was able to snap their losing streak with a win over Colorado in their last game, but they will be back on the road here, where they have lost eight of their last nine. The Wildcats have been inconsistent over the last five weeks, but they have allowed at least 76 points in three straight road games. Cincinnati has won two of their last three games and they are 4-0 in their last four home games. The Bearcats have been very solid on defense this year, as they have allowed 65.3 points per game. These two teams are very similar in the Big 12 standings, but I think Cincinnati is going to be too tough at home for Kansas State. Take the Bearcats here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Cincinnati -9.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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