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UNLV vs New Mexico Prediction 1/27/26 College Basketball Picks Today

New Mexico (16-4) vs. UNLV (10-9)
January 27, 2026 11:00 pm EDT
The Line: UNLV +4.5; Over/Under: 157.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The New Mexico Lobos and UNLV Rebels meet Tuesday in the college basketball action at the Thomas & Mack Center. Here’s a UNLV vs New Mexico Prediction. This article will include a UNLV vs New Mexico Pick.

New Mexico Lobos Betting Preview

The New Mexico Lobos beat Fresno State and Nevada, and they play San Jose State next. New Mexico has won 13 of its last 15 games.

The New Mexico Lobos are averaging 85 points on 45.1 percent shooting and allowing 71.4 points on 40.1 percent shooting. Jake Hall is averaging 15 points and 3.4 rebounds, while Tomislav Buljan is averaging 11.8 points and 10.1 rebounds. Deyton Albury is the third double-digit scorer and Uriah Tenette is grabbing 3 rebounds. The New Mexico Lobos are shooting 34.6 percent from beyond the arc and 74.9 percent from the free throw line. The New Mexico Lobos are allowing 28.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 36.4 rebounds per game.

UNLV Rebels Betting Preview

The UNLV Rebels beat Utah State, lost to San Diego State, and they play Nevada next. UNLV has split its last 6 games.

The UNLV Rebels are averaging 83.3 points on 46.3 percent shooting and allowing 80.9 points on 44.4 percent shooting. Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn is averaging 17.6 points and 3.2 rebounds, while Kimani Hamilton is averaging 12.4 points and 2 assists. Tyrin Jones is the third double-digit scorer and Issac Williamson is grabbing 1.9 rebounds. The UNLV Rebels are shooting 31.5 percent from beyond the arc and 67.9 percent from the free throw line. The UNLV Rebels are allowing 33.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.5 rebounds per game.

Why the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels will win

  • The home team has won each of New Mexico’s last four games.
  • New Mexico has lost eight of its last 10 night games at Thomas & Mack Center.
  • The home team has won the first half in each of New Mexico’s last four games.

Why the New Mexico Lobos will win

  • New Mexico has won 11 of its last 12 night games.
  • New Mexico has won the first half in nine of its last 10 night games against Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of New Mexico’s last 11 night games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 157 or fewer points.
  • Fourteen of UNLV’s last 15 games against Conference opponents at Thomas & Mack Center have produced a total of 156 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • UNLV ranks 357th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (26.2).
  • UNLV ranks 16th among Division 1 teams for free throw attempts per game this season (26.4).
  • New Mexico ranks 12th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point percentage this season (28.9%).
  • New Mexico ranks 20th among Division 1 teams for opponent assist to turnover ratio this season (0.79).

UNLV vs New Mexico Prediction

New Mexico is the more consistent team and has three road wins, so it’s not a surprise to see the Lobos as a favorite. However, UNLV has had moments this season that suggest this is a live dog. We’ve seen UNLV go into Utah State and win as a 15.5-point underdog and beat Boise State. UNLV can score the ball and has one of the best players in the conference leading the charge. It really comes down to which version of UNLV shows up. At home, I expect UNLV to have some juice. I’ll grab the points with the Rebels.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: UNLV +4.5;

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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