VCU vs Dayton Prediction 3/6/26 College Basketball Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a VCU vs Dayton Prediction for this college basketball matchup on Friday, March 6^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.

Dayton Flyers Preview

The Dayton Flyers have a 21-9 overall record and a 12-5 record in the A-10. They are coming off a 65-60 road win against Richmond and their previous three games were a 68-66 road win against George Washington, a 77-62 home win against Saint Louis and a 78-66 home win against Duquesne.

Offensively, Dayton averages 75.5 points per game, while allowing 70.2 points per game defensively. The Flyers shoot with 45% from the field and grab 32.5 rebounds per game, while dishing out 14.5 assists per game. They average 4.1 blocks per game and 8.7 steals per game defensively.

Javon Bennett leads Dayton in scoring, with an average of 15.9 points per game, while shooting with 38.1% from the field and 90.4% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 3 assists. Amaël L’Etang is the team’s leading rebounder with 5.8 per game.

VCU Rams Preview

The VCU Rams have a 23-7 overall record and a 14-3 record in the A-10. They are coming off a 70-65 home win against George Mason and their previous three games were an 82-63 home win against Fordham, an 88-75 road loss against Saint Louis and an 89-75 home win against George Washington.

Offensively, VCU averages 82.9 points per game, while allowing 72.5 points per game defensively. The Rams shoot with 46% from the field and grab 37.1 rebounds per game, while dishing out 14.3 assists per game. They average 4.5 blocks per game and 7.5 steals per game defensively.

Terrence Hill Jr. leads VCU in scoring, with an average of 14.1 points per game, while shooting with 45% from the field and 86.8% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 2.8 assists. Lazar Djokovic is the team’s leading rebounder with 5.6 per game.

VCU Rams @ Dayton Flyers Betting Trends: March 6, 2026

Why the Dayton Flyers will win

• Dayton has won 46 of its last 50 games at University of Dayton Arena.
• Dayton has won the first half in 15 of its last 16 games at University of Dayton Arena.

Why the VCU Rams will win

• VCU has won each of its last 12 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• VCU has won the first half in each of its last eight games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Dayton’s last six games have produced a total of 149 or fewer points.
• Each of VCU’s last six games against non-AP-ranked opponents at University of Dayton Arena have produced a total of 143 or fewer points.

VCU vs Dayton Prediction

In this VCU vs Dayton Prediction, Dayton is coming as -1.5 home favorites. Both teams have been excellent this season and have almost identical overall records and are exactly 14-16 ATS. They have both been red-hot lately, with a 6-0 and 9-1 record in their last six and nine games respectively, so I see no value on either side. They both are 8-2 to the under in their last 10 games combined, as they both play elite defense in their most recent games, holding their opponents into less than 66 points in their last eight games combined. Take the under 150.5 points in this one.