
Air Force vs Army Prediction Football Picks 11-4-23
Air Force Falcons (8-0) vs Army Black Knights (2-6)
2023-11-04 14:30:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Air Force Falcons -18.5 -- Over/Under: 31.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Army Black Knights and the Air Force Falcons meet in week 10 college football action from Empower Field at Mile High on Saturday afternoon.
Army Drops 5th Straight
The Army Black Knights come into this game on the heels of a 21-13 loss to UMass to fall to 2-6 on the year with a 5th straight defeat. Bryson Daily has thrown for 740 yards, 6 touchdowns and 6 interceptions on 50% passing while Champ Harris has 260 passing yards and 3 interceptions on 55.9% passing. Daily leads Army’s option attack with 470 rushing yards with 4 touchdowns while Kanye Udoh has 364 rushing yards and Hayden Reed has 205 receiving yards. Isaiah Alston has a team-high 266 receiving yards with 2 touchdowns while Noah Short has a team-high 16 receptions for 252 yards and 2 touchdowns as well. On defense, Leo Lowin has a team-high 44 total tackles while Jimmy Ciarlo has 3 sacks. As a unit, Army’s defense has combined for 11 sacks and 4 interceptions this season.
Army Black Knights Team Facts
- Army has lost each of its last five games.
- Army has covered the spread in seven of its last eight games in November.
- Each of Army’s last four November games as an underdog have gone UNDER the total points line.
Air Force Remains Unbeaten
The Air Force Falcons come into this one on the heels of a 30-13 win over Colorado State to improve to 8-0 on the year. Zac Larrier has thrown for 651 yards and 6 touchdowns on 70% passing while also rushing for 533 yards and 5 touchdowns. Emmanuel Michel leads the Falcons with 696 rushing yards and 9 touchdowns while John Lee Eldridge III has 408 rushing yards with 5 TDs and Owen Burk has 334 rushing yards as well on the year. Jared Roznos also has a team-high 10 receptions for 313 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns on the year. On defense, Alec Mock has a team-high 59 total tackles while PJ Ramsey has a team-high 6.5 sacks and Bo Richter has 6 sacks this season.
Air Force Falcons Team Facts
- Air Force has won each of its last 13 games.
- The underdog has covered the spread in each of the last seven games between Army and Air Force.
- Air Force has won the first quarter in seven of its last nine games against non-conference opponents.
- Air Force has won the first half in eight of its last nine games against non-conference opponents.
- Each of Air Force’s last 10 games against opponents from the FBS Independents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Chris’ Pick
I’m going to take a shot on Army and the points. Sure, the look of losing to UMass isn’t great for Army coming into a matchup against an undefeated Air Force team, but we’re talking about two touchdowns and a field goal plus in a game where there could be 6-8 possessions max with how both of these teams run the option. Sure, there’s been an increase in passing from both, but these games are usually close, and I think it’s worth taking the points in this game.