Appalachian State vs Southern Miss Prediction Football Picks 10-28-23
Appalachian State Mountaineers (3-4) vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles (1-6)
2023-10-28 15:30:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Appalachian State Mountaineers -17.5 -- Over/Under: 55.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Southern Miss Golden Eagles and the Appalachian State Mountaineers meet in week 9 college football action from Kidd-Brewer Stadium on Saturday afternoon.
Southern Miss Routed By South Alabama
The Southern Miss Golden Eagles come into this one on the heels of a 55-3 beatdown loss to South Alabama in their last game. Billy Wiles has thrown for 1,259 yards, 7 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 53.2% passing while Frank Gore Jr. has a team-high 434 rushing yards with 4 TDs and Rodrigues Clark has 369 rushing yards with a pair of TDs. Jakarius Caston has 334 receiving yards with 3 touchdowns while Latreal Jones has 24 receptions for 331 yards. Tiaquelin Mims also has 213 receiving yards as well on the year. Dylan Lawrence leads Southern Miss’ defense with 45 total tackles while Jalil Clemons has a team-high 3 sacks.
Southern Miss Golden Eagles Team Facts
- Southern Miss has lost each of its last six games.
- Southern Miss has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six games.
- Southern Miss has lost the first half in three of its last four games against conference opponents.
- Six of Southern Miss’ last seven games as an underdog have gone OVER the total points line.
Appalachian State Drops Back-to-Back
The Appalachian State Mountaineers come into this game fresh off of their 28-21 loss to Old Dominion to fall to 3-4 on the year. Joey Aguilar has thrown for 1,782 yards, 16 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 61.5% passing while Nate Noel leads the Mountaineers in rushing with 652 yards and 4 touchdowns. Kanye Roberts also has 275 rushing yards, while Kaedin Robinson has 32 receptions for 430 yards and 4 TDs. Four more Mountaineers have 200+ receiving yards on the year. On defense, Andrew Parker Jr. has a team-high 55 total tackles while Nate Johnson has a team-high 5 sacks.
Appalachian State Mountaineers Team Facts
- Appalachian State has won 15 of its last 16 matches at Kidd Brewer Stadium when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- Appalachian State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last seven games against conference opponents.
- Appalachian State has won the first half in 23 of its last 30 home games against conference opponents.
- Each of Appalachian State’s last four October games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Chris’ Pick
I’m looking at App State here. I can understand why it’s not easy to lay this kind of number with the Mountaineers, as App State hasn’t looked good in the last couple of weeks. However, backing Southern Miss is not an option for me right now, as the Golden Eagles have just looked awful in recent weeks and the rout against South Alabama might’ve been the final straw. App State has the much better and more consistent offense here and I think they run past Southern Miss as well. Give me App State.