UCF Knights (4-5) vs. Arizona State Sun Devils (6-2)
November 9, 2024 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Arizona State Sun Devils -3.5 / UCF Knights +3.5; Over/Under: +56.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The UCF Knights and the Arizona State Sun Devils will meet on Saturday in college football action from Sun Devil Stadium. Here’s an Arizona State vs UCF prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Arizona State vs UCF pick.
UCF Knights Betting Preview
This year the Knights kicked things off with victories over New Hampshire, Sam Houston, and TCU before hitting a losing streak. Central Florida would fall to Colorado, Florida, Cincinnati, Iowa State, and BYU over their next five games.
Matched up against Arizona last weekend, the Knights scored double-digit points in each of the first three quarters during a 56-12 blowout win. QB Dylan Rizk posted 294 yards with three scores, while RJ Harvey led the rush on 184 yards and three scores of his own.
Arizona State Sun Devils Betting Preview
Over on the Sun Devils’ side, they took out Wyoming, Mississippi State, and Texas State before their first loss to Texas Tech. The next pair were wins over Kansas and Utah before another loss to Cincinnati on October 19.
In their game versus Oklahoma State, the Sun Devils scored 14 points in both the second and fourth quarters in a 42-21 win. Sam Leavitt threw for 304 yards and three touchdowns. Topping the receivers was Cameron Skattebo with four grabs for 121 yards and two touchdowns.
Why the Arizona State Sun Devils will win
- Arizona State has won each of its last 13 November games as a home favorite.
- UCF has lost five of its last six games.
- Arizona State has covered the spread in each of its last four games at Mountain America Stadium.
- UCF has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five November games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
Why the UCF Knights will win
- Arizona State has lost each of its last four home games in November.
- UCF has won five of its last six games in November.
- Arizona State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four home games in November.
- UCF has covered the spread in five of its last six games as an underdog.
Total Points Facts
- Five of Arizona State’s last six games in November have gone OVER the total points line.
- Five of UCF’s last six games against conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
Arizona State vs UCF Prediction
I’ll go with Arizona State here. We should have a pretty great matchup, though. The Sun Devils posted a dominant effort in their road win over Oklahoma State this past weekend. Arizona State notched 529 total yards (304 passing), 26 first downs, and a nice 10-of-16 on third downs. That makes 27 or more points in three of the last four games (all three were wins) for the Sun Devils.
As for UCF, they had a great offensive outing versus Arizona with 602 total yards (308 rushing), 8.7 yards per play, 33 first downs, and 6-of-9 on third-down conversions. The Knights held the Wildcats to just five rushing yards as well. UCF has 24 or more points in three straight games themselves, so we could have a wild shootout this weekend. It’ll be a fun one to watch.
