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Arizona State vs USC Prediction Football Picks 9-23-23
Arizona State Sun Devils (1-2) vs USC Trojans (3-0)
2023-09-23 22:30:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Arizona State Sun Devils +35 -- Over/Under: 62
(Get latest betting odds)
The USC Trojans and Arizona State Sun Devils meet Saturday in week 4 college football action at Mountain America Stadium. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.
USC Trojans Betting Preview
The USC Trojans look for their first road win to remain undefeated on the season. USC look for their third 4-0 start in the last 4 years. Caleb Williams is completing 78.6 percent of his passes for 878 yards, 12 touchdowns and 0 interceptions. Tahj Washington and Duce Robinson have combined for 419 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Brenden Rice has 5 receptions. The USC Trojans ground game is averaging 185 yards per contest, and MarShawn Lloyd leads the way with 195 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, USC is allowing 17.3 points and 368.3 yards per game. Jaylin Smith leads the USC Trojans with 20 tackles, Solomon Byrd has 2.5 sacks and Max Williams has 1 interception.
USC Trojans Team Facts
- USC has won each of its last 12 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- USC has covered the spread in five of its last six September games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- USC has won the first quarter in three of its last four games against conference opponents at Mountain America Stadium.
- USC has won the first half in seven of its last nine games against conference opponents.
- Ten of USC’s last 11 games have gone OVER the total points line.
Arizona State Sun Devils Betting Preview
The Arizona State Sun Devils look to get back to a .500 record with a massive conference victory. Arizona State will play its fourth straight home game. Jaden Rashada is completing 56.7 percent of his passes for 403 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception. Xavier Guillory and Elijhah Badger have combined for 265 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Jalin Conyers has 6 receptions. The Arizona State Sun Devils ground game is averaging 95.7 yards per contest, and Cameron Skattebo leads the way with 148 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Arizona State is allowing 25.7 points and 293.3 yards per game. Chris Edmonds leads the Arizona State Sun Devils with 21 tackles, Prince Dorbah has 2.5 sacks and Jordan Clark has 3 pass deflections.
Arizona State Sun Devils Team Facts
- Arizona State has won each of its last 14 matches at Mountain America Stadium when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- Arizona State has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games.
- Arizona State has lost the first half in three of its last four games against conference opponents.
- Each of Arizona State’s last 10 September games as an underdog have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- USC ranked 3rd among FBS teams for points per game last season (41.4).
- USC ranked 4th among FBS teams for H2 points per game last season (19.9).
Randy’s Pick
The USC Trojans should be big favorites for obvious reasons as they’re loaded on both sides of the ball, have the Heisman favorite at QB, and we just saw Arizona State get shutout by Fresno State. A USC blowout would surprise nobody. However, Arizona State on the road can be a tricky spot due to an underrated crowd and this is a potential look ahead spot for USC with Colorado on deck. If anything, USC should be focused on winning and getting out to keep guys injury free. Ton of points here. It’s Arizona State or pass for me.