
Arkansas vs Auburn Prediction Football Picks 11-11-23
Arkansas Razorbacks (3-6) vs Auburn Tigers (5-4)
2023-11-11 16:00:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Arkansas Razorbacks -3 -- Over/Under: 46.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Auburn Tigers and the Arkansas Razorbacks meet in week 11 college football action from Razorback Stadium on Saturday afternoon.
Auburn Pummels Vandy
The Auburn Tigers come into this game on the heels of back-to-back wins after a 31-15 win over Vanderbilt last time out. Payton Thorne has thrown for 1,269 yards, 10 touchdowns and 6 interceptions on 63.9% passing while Jarquez Hunter has a team-high 636 rushing yards and 7 touchdowns this season. Jay Fair leads Auburn’s receivers with 28 grabs for 284 yards and 2 scores while Rivaldo Fairweather has 27 grabs for 277 yards and 3 scores this season. On defense, Eugene Asante has a team-high 67 total tackles as well as 4.5 sacks while Marcus Harris also has 4.5 sacks this season. Jaylin Simpson also leads Auburn’s defense with 4 interceptions this season.
Auburn Tigers Team Facts
- The favorite has won each of Auburn’s last 23 games.
- Auburn has covered the spread in each of its last four November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Auburn has lost the first half in six of its last seven road games against conference opponents.
- Auburn has won the first quarter in each of its last three games against conference opponents at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium.
- Eight of Auburn’s last nine road games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Arkansas Stuns Florida
The Arkansas Razorbacks come into this game with a record of 3-6 on the year after a 39-36 OT win over Florida in their last game. KJ Jefferson has thrown for 1,802 yards, 16 touchdowns and 8 interceptions on 65.2% passing while also rushing for a team-high 292 yards and 2 touchdowns. AJ Green and Rashod Dubinion each have 250+ rushing yards while Raheim Sanders has 194 rushing yards. Andrew Armstrong leads Arkansas’ receiving group with 46 grabs for 623 yards and 4 touchdowns while two more Hogs have 200+ receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Jaheim Thomas has a team-high 79 total tackles along with 3.5 sacks while Landon Jackson has 5.5 sacks as well this season.
Arkansas Razorbacks Team Facts
- The underdog has won three of Arkansas’ last four games at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium.
- The underdog has covered the spread in each of Arkansas’ last six games at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium.
- Arkansas has lost the first half in four of its last five games against conference opponents.
- Arkansas has won the first quarter in six of its last seven games against conference opponents at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium.
- Eight of the last nine games between Auburn and Arkansas have gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Arkansas has suffered the equal-most road losses by a margin of 10 points or less of any FBS team this season (3).
- Arkansas has suffered the equal-most road losses by a margin of five points or less of any FBS team this season (2).
- Auburn rank T39th among FBS teams for points allowed per game this season (21.7).
Chris’ Pick
I’m leaning towards Arkansas at home here. Sure, bowl eligbility could be clinched for Auburn here with a win, but the Hogs are in must-win mode if they want to go bowling as they basically have to win out to get to the magic number. I’m also not really trusting Auburn offensively, and I just feel that Arkansas is in a better spot now with a new OC and some new found confidence. Give me Arkansas here.