Arkansas vs Texas A&M Prediction Football Picks 9-30-23
Arkansas Razorbacks (2-2) vs Texas A&M Aggies (3-1)
2023-09-30 12:00:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Arkansas Razorbacks +6.5 -- Over/Under: 55.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Texas A&M Aggies and Arkansas Razorbacks meet Saturday in week 5 college football action at AT&T Stadium. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.
Texas A&M Aggies Betting Preview
The Texas A&M Aggies look for a statement win to get off to a 4-1 start to the season. Texas A&M has lost 5 straight non-home games. Conner Weigman is completing 68.9 percent of his passes for 979 yards, 8 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Evan Stewart and Ainias Smith have combined for 579 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Jahdae Walker has 9 receptions. The Texas A&M Aggies ground game is averaging 149.5 yards per contest, and Amari Daniels leads the way with 234 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Texas A&M is allowing 17.8 points and 273.8 yards per game. Edgerrin Cooper leads the Texas A&M Aggies with 24 tackles, Shemar Turner has 3 sacks and Josh DeBerry has 1 interception.
Texas A&M Aggies Team Facts
- Texas A&M has won 10 of its last 11 games against Arkansas.
- Texas A&M has covered the spread in four of its last five games.
- Texas A&M has won the first half in four of its last five games against conference opponents.
- Each of Texas A&M’s last four games at AT&T Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.
Arkansas Razorbacks Betting Preview
The Arkansas Razorbacks look to rebound from back to back losses to get above a .500 record. Arkansas has lost 4 of its last 7 non-home games. KJ Jefferson is completing 70.4 percent of his passes for 918 yards, 9 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. Andrew Armstrong and Luke Hasz have combined for 512 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Isaac TeSlaa has 13 receptions. The Arkansas Razorbacks ground game is averaging 147.8 yards per contest, and AJ Green leads the way with 190 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Arkansas is allowing 22.8 points and 320.3 yards per game. Jaheim Thomas leads the Arkansas Razorbacks with 43 tackles, Keivie Rose has 2.5 sacks and Dwight McGlothern has 2 interceptions.
Arkansas Razorbacks Team Facts
- Arkansas has lost seven of its last eight games at AT&T Stadium.
- Arkansas has covered the spread in each of its last four games as an underdog.
- Arkansas has won the first half in four of its last five games against conference opponents.
- Arkansas has won the first quarter in four of its last five games against conference opponents.
- Eight of Arkansas’ last nine games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Arkansas ranked T21st among FBS teams for Q2 win percentage last season (.615).
- Arkansas ranked T25th among FBS teams for Q4 win percentage last season (.538).
- Texas A&M ranked T11th among FBS teams for Q2 points allowed per game last season (4.8).
- Texas A&M ranked 25th among FBS teams for H1 points allowed per game last season (10.2).
Randy’s Pick
The Texas A&M Aggies are the more talented team on paper, but they’re still having issues running the ball, and they looked terrible in their only non-home game this season against Miami. The Arkansas Razorbacks are coming off back to back losses, but both games were close, and that includes a road loss to LSU that came down to the wire. Arkansas is still physical defensively, and Jefferson is a playmaker at quarterback who should help this Razorbacks’ offense get it together. Last year’s meeting was a two-point game. Expect the same here. Give me Arkansas and the free touchdown.