Army vs Air Force Prediction 11-2-24 College Football Picks
Air Force Falcons (1-6) vs. Army Black Knights (7-0)
November 2, 2024 12:00 pm EDT
The Line: Army Black Knights -22 / Air Force Falcons +22; Over/Under: +41.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate an Army vs Air Force prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, November 2nd at Michie Stadium in West Point, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 10 matchup.
Army Black Knights Betting Preview
The Army Black Knights are 7-0 (6-0) this year after they defeated East Carolina by a score of 45-28 in their last game. Army led 31-0 at the half, but they did allow ECU to score 28 points in the second half in the win. The Black Knights outgained ECU by a total of 442-369, won the turnover battle 1-0, and went 6-13 on third down in the game. Bryson Daily threw for 147 yards and one touchdown, while also rushing for 171 yards and five scores.
Army has also defeated Lehigh, FAU, Rice, Temple, Tulsa, and UAB during this undefeated start to the season. The Army offense has scored 40.7 points per game with 100.3 passing yards and 359.1 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 12.4 points per game this season. The Black Knights have gone 54.7% on third down and 11-13 on fourth down through seven games. Bryson Daily has completed 57.4% of his passes for 629 yards and seven touchdowns, while also rushing for 909 yards and 19 scores.
Air Force Falcons Betting Preview
The Air Force Falcons are 1-6 (0-4) this season after they lost to Colorado State by a score of 21-13 in their last game. Air Force trailed 21-0 in the fourth quarter, but they were able to score two touchdowns late in the game. The Falcons were outgained by a total of 406-348, lost the turnover battle 3-2, and went 6-20 on third down in the game. John Busha threw for 175 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions, while Dylan Carson rushed for 60 yards on 12 carries.
Air Force has also lost to New Mexico, Navy, Wyoming, Baylor, and San Jose State during this six-game losing streak. The Air Force offense has scored 15.6 points per game with 100.6 passing yards and 194.7 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 27.4 points per game this season. The Falcons have gone 33.6% on third down and 14-26 on fourth down so far this season. John Busha has completed 36.7% of his passes for 415 yards, one touchdown, and five interceptions, while Cade Harris has rushed for 212 yards and four scores.
Why Army will cover
- Army has won each of its last 13 November games at Michie Stadium.
- Air Force has lost each of its last six games.
- Air Force has failed to cover the spread in each of its last seven games.
- Army has covered the spread in eight of its last nine games.
- Army has won the first half in three of its last four games against opponents from the Mountain West Conference.
Why Air Force will cover
- The underdog has won three of the last four games between Air Force and Army.
- The underdog has covered the spread in each of the last eight games between Air Force and Army.
- Army has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games against opponents from the Mountain West Conference at Michie Stadium.
- Air Force has won the first half in four of its last five games against opponents from the American Athletic Conference.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the last 10 games between Air Force and Army have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Six of Air Force’s last eight games against non-conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Army ranks 1st among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (1.0).
- Army ranks 1st among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (359.1).
- Air Force ranks 134th among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (0.0).
- Air Force ranks 134th among FBS teams for interceptions this season (1).
Army vs Air Force Prediction
Army comes into this game with an undefeated record on the season and they have been great on both sides of the ball. The Black Knights have scored 42+ points in four straight games and they have the best rushing attack in the country. Air Force is having a down year and they have lost six games in a row. The Falcons have one of the worst offenses in college football this year and the defense hasn’t been much better. I know we typically think of these service academy games as low-scoring, but this Army offense is a wagon. Take the over here.