College Football

Army vs South Florida Prediction Football Picks Today 9/12/26

South Florida Bulls (1-0) vs. Army Black Knights (1-0)
September 12, 2026 12:00 pm EDT
The Line: Army Black Knights -3.5 / South Florida Bulls 3.5; Over/Under: 46.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate an Army vs South Florida prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, September 12th at Michie Stadium in West Point, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 2 matchup. 

Army Black Knights Betting Preview

The Army Black Knights are 1-0 this year after they defeated Bryant by a score of 59-3 last week. Army led 31-3 at halftime and poured in 28 points in the second half in the lopsided win. The Black Knights out gained Bryant by a total of 648-165, went 6-9 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at zero in the game. Cale Hellums threw for 59 yards, while Samari Howard caught three passes for 52 yards. Zach Mundell rushed four times for 105 yards and two scores in the win. 

Army went 7-6 (4-4) last year and they finished tied for sixth in the American standings. Army started the season with a 30-27 loss to Tarleton State, but they followed that up with an upset win over Kansas State. The Black Knights were 3-3 through six games and they played .500 ball the rest of the way, before winning the Fenway Bowl by a score of 41-16 against UConn. Army scored 23.8 points per game in 2025, while they allowed 21.6 points against per game on defense. 

South Florida Bulls Betting Preview

The South Florida Bulls are 1-0 this season after they defeated FIU by a score of 19-9 last week. South Florida led 6-0 at halftime and they added 13 points in the fourth quarter to escape with the victory. The Bulls were out gained by a total of 381-208, went 5-13 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 3-0 in the game. Michael Van Buren Jr threw for 100 yards, while Arhmad Branch caught five passes for 47 yards. Jason Collins Jr rushed 17 times for 59 yards in the win. 

Last season, South Florida went 9-4 (6-2) and they finished tied for fourth in the American standings. South Florida started the season with a 34-7 win over Boise State and followed that up with an 18-16 win over Florida. The Bulls were 6-1 through seven games, but they went 3-3 in their last six, including a 24-10 loss to Old Dominion in the Cure Bowl. 

Why the Army Black Knights will win

  • Army has won each of its last 16 September games as a home favorite.
  • South Florida has lost six of its last seven road openers.
  • Army has covered the spread in each of its last five September games as a home favorite.
  • South Florida has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five September games as a road underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Army has won the first half in each of its last 15 September games as a favorite.
  • Army has won the first quarter in seven of its last eight home games in September.

Why the South Florida Bulls will win

  • South Florida has won four of its last five games as an underdog.
  • Army has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games at Michie Stadium.
  • The underdog has covered the spread in eight of Army’s last 10 games at Michie Stadium.
  • South Florida has won the first half in seven of its last eight games.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Army’s last six home games in September have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Thirteen of South Florida’s last 15 road games against conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

Army Black Knights Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 2, Stratton Fuller ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.

South Florida Bulls Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 2, Bryson Rodgers ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Army ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
  • Army ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
  • South Florida ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
  • South Florida ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (0.0).

Army vs South Florida Prediction 

Army comes into this matchup after gaining more than 500 rushing yards last week and will look to beat up on USF here. The Bulls got the win last week against FIU, but they didn’t play very well and were lucky to win. South Florida is going through a rebuild this year and I don’t see them stopping the triple option attack. On the other side, Army’s defense is pretty solid and USF only gained 208 yards against FIU. Take the Black Knights to cover here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Army -3.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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