Auburn vs Ole Miss Prediction Football Picks 10-21-23
Auburn Tigers (3-3) vs Ole Miss Rebels (5-1)
2023-10-21 19:00:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Auburn Tigers +6.5 -- Over/Under: 55.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Ole Miss Rebels and the Auburn Tigers meet in week 8 college football action from Jordan-Hare Stadium on Saturday night.
Ole Miss Sneaks By Razorbacks
The Ole Miss Rebels come into this one on the heels of their bye week which followed a 27-20 win over Arkansas last time out. Jaxson Dart has thrown for 1,638 yards, 12 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 64.1% passing while also rushing for 302 yards and 4 TDs. Quinshon Jenkins has 443 rushing yards with 6 TDs and Ulysses Bentley IV has 275 rushing yards with 3 TDs. Jordan Watkins has a team-high 36 receptions for 536 yards while Dayton Wade has 390 receiving yards and Tre Harris has 367 receiving yards with 6 touchdowns. On defense, Trey Washington has a team-high 42 total tackles while Suntarine Perkins has 3.5 sacks and Isaac Ukwu has 3 sacks. As a unit, Ole Miss has combined for 22 sacks and 5 interceptions this season.
Ole Miss Rebels Team Facts
- Ole Miss has won each of its last nine October games as a favorite.
- Ole Miss has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four October games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Ole Miss has won the first half in each of its last four games against conference opponents.
- Ole Miss has won the first quarter in each of its last three games against conference opponents.
- Each of Ole Miss’ last four road games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
Auburn Blown Out By LSU
The Auburn Tigers come into this game on the heels of a 48-18 loss to LSU last time out. Payton Thorne has thrown for 745 yards, 4 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 60.7% passing while also rushing for a team-high 225 yards with 2 touchdowns and Jarquez Hunter has 218 rushing yards with 3 scores. Jay Fair has a team-high 21 receptions for 232 yards and 2 touchdowns while two more Auburn receivers have 100+ receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Eugene Asante has a team-high 47 total tackles and 3 sacks while Jaylin Simpson has a team-high 4 interceptions and D.J. James has 2 INTs as well.
Auburn Tigers Team Facts
- Auburn has won each of its last nine matches at Jordan-Hare Stadium when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The home team has covered the spread in eight of Auburn’s last nine games.
- Auburn has lost the first half in seven of its last nine games against conference opponents.
- Auburn has won the first quarter in four of its last five home games against conference opponents.
- Each of Auburn’s last six games against AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Auburn rank 26th among FBS teams for points allowed per game this season (18.2).
- Ole Miss rank 7th among FBS teams for points per game this season (41.7).
Chris’ Pick
I’m looking at Ole Miss here. The number does feel a bit funky with Auburn being at home, but I just don’t trust the Tigers against another high-octane offense like the one that Ole Miss has. Ole Miss has won each of their last two games by this kind of margin so I get it, but that game against LSU and Arkansas, two teams I have ahead of Auburn right now as this offense just can’t move the ball. Give me Ole Miss here.