Ball State vs Kent State Prediction Football Picks Today 11/5/25

In this article we will formulate a Ball State vs Kent State prediction for this College Football game on Wednesday, November 5th at Scheumann Stadium in Muncie, Indiana. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 11 matchup. 

Ball State Cardinals Betting Preview

The Ball State Cardinals are 3-5 (2-2) this year after they lost to Northern Illinois by a score of 21-7 in their last game. Ball State was tied at seven at halftime, but they were shutout in the second half for the low scoring loss. The Cardinals were out gained by a total of 370-275, went 6-15 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at three in the game. Kiael Kelly went 10-23 for 136 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions, while also rushing for 86 yards on 27 carries. Ty Robinson led the receivers with three receptions for 37 yards in the loss. The Ball State defense recorded one sack and three tackles for loss in the game. 

Prior to that game, Ball State defeated Akron by a score of 42-28, but did lose to Western Michigan by a score of 42-0 before that. The Cardinals have alternated wins and losses over their last seven games and they are currently tied for sixth in the MAC standings. Ball State has scored 16.4 points per game with 129.8 passing yards and 143.0 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 29.8 points against per game this season. Kiael Kelly has thrown for 982 yards, six touchdowns, and five interceptions, while Qua Ashley has rushed 101 times for 513 yards and four scores this year. 

Kent State Golden Flashes Betting Preview

The Kent State Golden Flashes are 3-5 (2-2) this season after they defeated Bowling Green by a score of 24-21 in their last game. Kent State trailed 14-3 at halftime and 21-3 in the third quarter, but they scored the last 21 points to escape with the victory. The Golden Flashes were out gained by a total of 379-294, went 4-12 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at zero in the game. Dru DeShields went 13-22 for 160 yards and one touchdown, while Gavin Garcia rushed six times for 53 yards and one score. Cade Wolford led the receivers with two catches for 66 yards and one touchdown in the win. The Kent State defense recorded three sacks and seven tackles for loss in the game. 

Prior to that game, Kent State lost to Toledo by a score of 45-10, but did beat UMass by a score of 42-6 before that. The Golden Flashes have won two of their last three games and they are currently tied for sixth in the MAC standings. Kent State has scored 18.6 points per game with 180.5 passing yards and 87.6 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 36.5 points against per game this season. Dru DeShields has thrown for 1,109 yards, 11 touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Cade Wolford has 15 receptions for 395 yards and six scores this season. 

Why the Ball State Cardinals will win

• Kent State has lost each of its last 18 road games.
• The home team has won each of Ball State’s last nine games.
• Ball State has covered the spread in 11 of its last 12 home games.
• Kent State has failed to cover the spread in nine of its last 11 road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Kent State has lost the first half in each of its last six road games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of Ball State’s last eight home games in November have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of Kent State’s last three road games in November have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Ball State has scored fewer than 10 points in four road games this season – most of any FBS team.
• Ball State has scored fewer than five points in three road games this season – most of any FBS team.
• Kent State has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of five points or less of any FBS team this season (2).
• Kent State has suffered the equal-most road losses by a margin of 20+ points of any FBS team this season (4).

Ball State vs Kent State Prediction 

Kent State is just 3-5 on the season, but that is a huge win for them this year, so they should have plenty of momentum here. The Golden Flashes have won two of their last three games, but all of their wins have been at home. Ball State has been pretty bad on the road, but they are 3-0 in their last three home games. The Cardinals are the better team in this matchup and while I probably wouldn’t take them on the road, I will gladly take them at home.