Florida vs Georgia Prediction Football Picks 10-28-23
Florida Gators (5-2) vs Georgia Bulldogs (7-0)
2023-10-28 15:30:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Florida Gators +14.5 -- Over/Under: 47.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Georgia Bulldogs and the Florida Gators meet in week 9 college football action from EverBank Stadium on Saturday afternoon.
Georgia Remains Unbeaten
The Georgia Bulldogs come into this one unbeaten at 7-0 after a 37-20 win over Vanderbilt last time out. Carson Beck has thrown for 2,147 yards, 12 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 73.6% passing while Daijun Edwards has 460 rushing yards and 6 touchdowns to lead UGA. Brock Bowers leads the Bulldogs with 41 receptions for 567 yards and 4 touchdowns but remains out with injury. Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint has 333 rushing yards while Dominic Lovett and Rara Thomas each have 250+ receiving yards. Five more Bulldogs have 100+ receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Smael Mondon Jr. has a team-high 32 total tackles while Jamon Dumas-Johnson has 2.5 sacks and Tykee Smith has a team-high 4 interceptions this season.
Georgia Bulldogs Team Facts
- Georgia has won each of its last 32 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Georgia has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Georgia has won the first half in five of its last six games against conference opponents at EverBank Stadium.
- Georgia has won the first quarter in three of its last four games against conference opponents at neutral venues.
- Each of Georgia’s last four games as a favorite have gone OVER the total points line.
Florida Upends South Carolina
The Florida Gators come into this one off of their bye week like Georgia, but last we saw the Gators, they narrowly edged South Carolina 41-39 to improve to 5-2 on the year. Graham Mertz has thrown for 1,897 yards, 12 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 76.2% passing while Montrell Johnson Jr. has 438 rushing yards and 4 touchdowns to lead Florida on the ground. Trevor Etienne has 407 rushing yards and 3 TDs as well. Ricky Pearsall has 44 receptions for 619 yards and 3 touchdowns while two more Gators have 200+ receiving yards and another three receivers have 100+ receiving yards. On defense, Shemar James has a team-high 50 total tackles while Princely Umanmielen has 3 sacks this season.
Florida Gators Team Facts
- Florida has lost each of its last six games at neutral venues.
- Florida has covered the spread in six of its last seven games as an underdog against top-5 AP-ranked teams.
- Florida has lost the first half in seven of its last eight games against conference opponents at neutral venues.
- Nine of Florida’s last 10 games as an underdog against top-5 AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Florida are one of only six FBS teams undefeated in home games this season ([3-0]).
- Florida rank T35th among FBS teams for points allowed per game this season (20.0).
- The Georgia are one of only six FBS teams undefeated in home games this season ([5-0]).
- Georgia rank T7th among FBS teams for points per game this season (40.1).
Chris’ Pick
I get the case to be made for Georgia here, as the Bulldogs come into this one unbeaten, but this is a lot of points for a rivalry game and we’ve seen the Bulldogs fail to cover against multiple conference opponents already this season. I’m not the biggest Florida fan, but the Gators have some solid performances this season and I just think this is a 10-14 point win for Georgia with Florida sneaking in the backdoor here.