Ole Miss Rebels (8-2) vs. Florida Gators (5-5)
November 23, 2024 12:00 pm EDT
The Line: Florida Gators +9.5 / Ole Miss Rebels -9.5; Over/Under: +60.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Ole Miss Rebels and the Florida Gators meet Saturday in college football action from Ben Hill Griffin Stadium. Here’s a Florida vs Ole Miss prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Florida vs Ole Miss pick.
Ole Miss Rebels Betting Preview
Ole Miss beat Furman, Middle Tennessee, Wake Forest and Georgia Southern before their first loss versus Kentucky. After a win over South Carolina and a loss to LSU, the Rebels have since beaten Oklahoma, Arkansas and Georgia.
In the Georgia game back on November 9, Ole Miss came out of halftime with a 16-7 edge. The Rebels kept it up in an eventual win 28-10. Jaxson Dart posted 199 pass yards with one TD and a pick. Cayden Lee caught four balls for 81 yards to lead the recievers.
Florida Gators Betting Preview
Over on the Florida side, they went 3-3 over their first six games this year featuring losses to Miami, Texas A&M and Tennessee. The Gators would then take out Kentucky before two more losses to Georgia and Texas in the next pair.
On Saturday versus LSU, the Gators put up a 17-6 second-half advantage along the way to a 27-16 shocker victory. QB DJ Lagway threw for 226 yards and a score, while Elijhah Badger caught six balls for 131 yards and the TD. Ladan Baugh rushed six times for 65 yards and a touchdown.
Why the Florida Gators will win
- Florida has won six of its last nine games against top-10 AP-ranked teams at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium.
- Florida has covered the spread in six of its last seven games.
- Ole Miss has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven November games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
Why the Ole Miss Rebels will win
- Ole Miss has won 15 of its last 16 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Florida has lost eight of its last nine games in November.
- Ole Miss has covered the spread in four of its last five road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Ole Miss has won the first half in each of its last four road games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Eight of Ole Miss’ last nine games have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Twelve of Florida’s last 14 games against conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
Florida vs Ole Miss Prediction
I’ll probably just stick with Ole Miss. You could call it either way though, and it’s certainly worth shopping around for a favorable line. The Rebels are coming off an impressive win over a great Georgia team, and they’ve had plenty of time to rest and prep. In their last outing Ole Miss notched 397 yards (263 passing) with 19 first downs but went just 4-of-13 on third-down tries. The defense gave up only 245 yards (59 rushing) on the other side however, and posted three takeaways.
As for Florida, on Saturday they posted an epic upset win over a strong LSU team. The Gators were a tepid 3-of-9 on third downs with just 13 first downs and only 18:17 in time of possession. The defense helped massively with seven sacks but did give up 392 yards (262 passing) and 25 first downs. Florida could keep it going here with another strong performance, so you could certainly make a case for a Gators cover. It’ll be an interesting game to check out regardless.
