
Fresno State vs Boise State Prediction Football Picks 11-4-23
Fresno State Bulldogs (7-1) vs Boise State Broncos (4-4)
2023-11-04 22:00:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Fresno State Bulldogs -3.5 -- Over/Under: 54.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Boise State Broncos and Fresno State Bulldogs meet Saturday in week 10 college football action at Bulldog Stadium. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.
Boise State Broncos Betting Preview
The Boise State Broncos look for their second road win to get above a .500 record. Boise State has split its last 8 road games. Taylen Green is completing 52.9 percent of his passes for 1,110 yards, 6 touchdowns and 5 interceptions. Eric McAlister and Ashton Jeanty have combined for 1,184 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns, while Stefan Cobbs has 22 receptions. The Boise State Broncos ground game is averaging 195.1 yards per contest, and Jeanty leads the way with 921 yards and 11 touchdowns. Defensively, Boise State is allowing 27.9 points and 388.8 yards per game. Marco Notarainni leads the Boise State Broncos with 53 tackles, Ahmed Hassanein has 6 sacks and Jaylen Clark has 1 interception.
Boise State Broncos Team Facts
- Boise State has won 14 of its last 15 November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- The home team has covered the spread in seven of Boise State’s last eight games.
- Each of Boise State’s last four road games in November have gone UNDER the total points line.
Fresno State Bulldogs Betting Preview
The Fresno State Bulldogs look to remain unbeaten at home to stay in the MWC title picture. Fresno State has won 8 straight home games. Mikey Keene is completing 68.1 percent of his passes for 1,948 yards, 19 touchdowns and 6 interceptions. Erik Brooks and Jalen Moss have combined for 1,054 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns, while Jaelen Gill has 36 receptions. The Fresno State Bulldogs ground game is averaging 105.6 yards per contest, and Malik Sherrod leads the way with 488 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, Fresno State is allowing 20.6 points and 341.4 yards per game. Dean Clark leads the Fresno State Bulldogs with 50 tackles, Jacob Holmes has 4 sacks and Carlton Johnson has 4 interceptions.
Fresno State Bulldogs Team Facts
- Fresno State has won each of its last eight games at Valley Children’s Stadium.
- The underdog has covered the spread in nine of the last 10 games between Boise State and Fresno State.
- Fresno State has won the first quarter in three of its last four home games against conference opponents.
- Fresno State has won the first half in three of its last four home games against conference opponents.
- Seven of the last eight games between Boise State and Fresno State have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Fresno State are one of only 21 FBS teams undefeated in home games this season.
- Fresno State rank T29th among FBS teams for points per game this season (33.6).
- Boise State has suffered the equal-most road losses by a margin of five points or fewer of any FBS team this season (2).
- Boise State has suffered the equal-most road losses by a margin of three points or fewer of any FBS team this season (2).
Randy’s Pick
The Boise State Broncos have had issues against the better teams on their schedule, and a lot of it has to do with the defense. Boise State is 83rd in total defense, 125th in pass defense and 87th in scoring defense. Not what you want to see on the road. It also doesn’t help that Fresno State is 14th in pass offense. Easily one of the worst pass defenses against one of the best passing offenses. This has the potential to get ugly for the road team. I’ll lay the chalk with Fresno State at home.