Kent State vs Bowling Green Prediction Football Picks Today 10/25/25

The Bowling Green Falcons and Kent State Golden Flashes meet Saturday in college football action at Dix Stadium. Here’s a Kent State vs Bowling Green Prediction. This article will include a Kent State vs Bowling Green Pick.

Bowling Green Falcons Betting Preview

The Bowling Green Falcons beat Toledo, lost to Central Michigan, and play Buffalo next. Bowling Green has lost 3 of its last 4 games. Drew Pyne is completing 64.4 percent of his passes for 830 yards, 4 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions. RJ Garcia II and Jyrin Johnson have combined for 452 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while Finn Hogan has 11 receptions.

The Bowling Green Falcons ground game is averaging 143 yards per contest, and Chris McMillian leads the way with 267 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Bowling Green is allowing 25.6 points and 363.6 yards per game. Gideon Lampron leads the Bowling Green Falcons with 70 tackles, Myles Bradley has 4 sacks and Dorian Pringle has 1 interception.

Kent State Golden Flashes Betting Preview

The Kent State Golden Flashes beat UMass, lost to Toledo, and they play Ball State next. Kent State has lost 5 of its last 6 games. Dru DeShields is completing 56.9 percent of his passes for 949 yards, 10 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Cade Wolford and Dashawn Martin have combined for 538 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns, while Ardell Banks has 7 receptions.

The Kent State Golden Flashes ground game is averaging 85.7 yards per contest, and Gavin Garcia leads the way with 268 yards on 82 carries. Defensively, Kent State is allowing 37.7 points and 465.5 yards per game. Mason Woods leads the Kent State Golden Flashes with 47 tackles, Jamond Mathis has 3 sacks and Clinton Robinson has 1 interception.

Why the Kent State Golden Flashes will win

• The home team has won seven of Kent State’s last eight games.
• Bowling Green has lost three of its last four games as a favorite.
• The underdog has covered the spread in eight of Bowling Green’s last nine games.
• Bowling Green has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games as a favorite in Ohio.
• Bowling Green has lost the first half in each of its last four games against conference opponents.
• Kent State has won the first quarter in each of its last three games against conference opponents.

Why the Bowling Green Falcons will win

• Kent State has lost each of its last nine games against teams from Ohio.
• The favorite has won each of Kent State’s last 17 games.
• Kent State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six home games against teams from Ohio.
• The road team has covered the spread in seven of the last eight games between Bowling Green and Kent State.
• Bowling Green has won the first quarter in 13 of its last 16 road games against conference opponents.
• Bowling Green has won the first half in seven of its last eight road games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Bowling Green’s last five games against teams from Ohio have gone OVER the total points line.
• Six of Kent State’s last seven games as a home underdog have gone OVER the total points line.

Kent State Golden Flashes Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 9, Gavin Garcia has the most rushing attempts without a rushing touchdown this season (82).

Bowling Green Falcons Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 9, Jackson Kleather leads the Mid-American Conference for field goals made (14) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Kent State has suffered the equal-most road losses by a margin of 10+ points of any FBS team this season (4).
• Kent State has suffered the equal-most road losses by a margin of 15+ points of any FBS team this season (4).
• Bowling Green ranks T131st among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (27.3).
• Bowling Green ranks T125th among FBS teams for H1 points per game this season (8.4).

Kent State vs Bowling Green Prediction

Bowling Green is obviously the better team and should be favored, but they’re also a team that got smoked by Central Michigan in the favorite role last week. Bowling Green is awful offensively, and it turns me off when laying a big number on the road. Kent State is probably the worst program in the country dating back to last season, but it’s covered 4 of its last 6 games. Kent State has covered 5 of the last 7 games against Bowling Green. There are better options out there but if forced to pick I’d cover my eyes and grab the free touchdown with Kent State at home.