Auburn Tigers (2-5) vs. Kentucky Wildcats (3-4)
October 26, 2024 7:45 pm EDT
The Line: Kentucky Wildcats -2.5 / Auburn Tigers +2.5; Over/Under: +42.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Auburn Tigers and the Kentucky Wildcats meet in week 9 college football action from Kroger Field on Saturday night. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Kentucky vs Auburn Prediction.
Auburn Recap
The Auburn Tigers come into this game looking to rebound from a 4th straight loss, sitting at 2-5 on the year after a 21-17 loss at the hands of Missouri in their last game. After this matchup, Auburn will head home for a matchup with Vanderbilt.
Tigers Trying To Right The Ship
Payton Thorne has thrown for 1,414 yards, 11 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions on 59.5% passing while Hank Brown has thrown for 403 yards, 6 touchdowns, and 3 picks on 62.8% passing. Jarquez Hunter leads the Tigers with 585 rushing yards along with 3 touchdowns. KeAndre Lambert-Smith has a team-high 26 receptions for 526 yards and 6 TDs while Malcolm Simmons has 22 receptions for 289 yards and Cam Coleman has 259 receiving yards. Three more Auburn receivers have 100+ receiving yards on the year. On defense, Dorian Mausi Jr. has a team-high 40 total tackles while Jalen McLeod and Keldric Faulk share the team lead in sacks with 5 sacks apiece this season. As a unit, Auburn’s defense has combined for 17 sacks and 4 interceptions on the year.
Why the Auburn Tigers will win
- Kentucky has lost each of its last four October games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
- The underdog has won each of Kentucky’s last three games.
- Kentucky has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six games in October.
- The underdog has covered the spread in seven of Kentucky’s last eight completed games.
Kentucky Recap
The Kentucky Wildcats will try to rebound after ending up with a 48-20 loss to Florida last time out, falling to 3-4 on the year. After this game, Kentucky will head out on the road once again for a matchup with Tennessee.
Wildcats Trying To Respond
Brock Vandagriff has thrown for 1,116 yards, 6 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions on 57.6% passing while Demie Sumo-Karngbaye has 419 rushing yards and 4 touchdowns as well. Dane Key leads Kentucky’s receiving group with 35 receptions for 500 yards while Barion Brown has 270 receiving yards and 3 TD grabs for Kentucky. On defense, Jordan Lovett has a team-high 36 total tackles. J.J. Weaver also has 4 sacks as part of Kentucky’s 15 sacks this season while the Wildcat defense has 6 interceptions as well on the year.
Why the Kentucky Wildcats will win
- Auburn has lost 17 of its last 18 games as an underdog.
- Kentucky has won 28 of its last 36 games against non-AP-ranked teams at Kroger Field.
- Auburn has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five October games as an underdog.
Kentucky vs Auburn Prediction
I’m on the under here. I don’t trust this Auburn offense and I don’t think that Kentucky is as bad defensively as they showed last week. On the other side, Kentucky’s offense has been garbage for the better part of the season, as they’re extremely one-dimensional with only a run game to speak of and no competent QB play. I think this is a first-to-20-win kind of game if we even get there. Give me the under.
