Louisiana-Monroe vs South Alabama Prediction Football Picks 10-7-23
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (2-2) vs South Alabama Jaguars (2-3)
2023-10-07 19:00:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks +12 -- Over/Under: 51
(Get latest betting odds)
The South Alabama Jaguars and the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks meet in week 6 college football action from Malone Stadium on Saturday night.
South Alabama Falls Below .500
The South Alabama Jaguars dropped to 2-3 on the year, taking back-to-back L’s after a 31-23 loss to James Madison last time out. Carter Bradley has thrown for 1,153 yards, 8 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 65.1% passing while La’Damian Webb has a team-high 376 rushing yards and 7 touchdowns and Kentrel Bullock’s rushed for 247 yards as well. Caullin Lacy has a team-high 32 receptions for 567 yards and 5 scores while Jamaal Pritchett has 226 receiving yards and 17 catches this season. On defense, James Miller leads the Jaguars with 31 total tackles while South Alabama’s defense as a whole has combined for 11 sacks and 3 interceptions this season.
South Alabama Jaguars Team Facts
South Alabama has won five of its last six games against conference opponents.
South Alabama has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games.
South Alabama has lost the first half in 18 of its last 24 road games against conference opponents.
Four of South Alabama’s last five games as a favorite against Louisiana-Monroe have gone OVER the total points line.
ULM Loses Heartbreaker Vs. App State
The Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks fell short in heartbreaking fashion against App State, losing by a final score of 41-40 for back-to-back losses, dropping to 2-2 on the year. Jiya Wright has thrown for 432 yards, 4 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 54.7% passing while Hunter Smith has a team-high 258 rushing yards with 2 TDs and Isaiah Woullard has 247 rushing yards as well on the year. Tyrone Howell has a team-high 23 receptions for 234 yards and 4 touchdowns while Dariyan Wiley has 136 receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Michael Batton has a team-high 34 total tackles while ULM’s defense as a unit has combined for 8 sacks and 6 interceptions this season.
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks Team Facts
Louisiana-Monroe has lost each of its last five games in October.
Louisiana-Monroe has covered the spread in six of its last seven games as a home underdog.
Louisiana-Monroe has lost the first half in 11 of its last 13 games against conference opponents.
Four of Louisiana-Monroe’s last five games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
Louisiana-Monroe was one of only five FBS teams to win 4+ games when trailing after Q1 last season.
Louisiana-Monroe was one of only six FBS teams to win 3+ games when trailing after Q3 last season.
South Alabama was one of only five FBS teams to win 4+ games when trailing after Q1 last season.
South Alabama ranked 8th among FBS teams for Q3 points allowed per game last season (3.2).
Chris’ Pick
I get the case to be made for South Alabama as a favorite here, but I think folks are still hanging on to that win over a bad Oklahoma State team for South Alabama. Sure, the Jaguars have the more reliable offense here, but the defense continues to be an issue on both sides and Louisiana-Monroe almost pulled it off against App State last week. For what it’s worth, ULM’s been respectable in the last two meetings between these two, holding their own in 41-34 and 41-31 losses. The over could be worth a look as well given the history of this matchup, but I’m going to take a shot on ULM and the points here.