College Football

Louisiana vs Appalachian State Prediction 10-12-24 College Football Picks

Appalachian State Mountaineers (2-3) vs. Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns (4-1)
October 12, 2024 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns -10 / Appalachian State Mountaineers -10; Over/Under: +63.5
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The Appalachian State Mountaineers and the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns meet Saturday in college football action from Cajun Field. Here’s a Louisiana vs Appalachian State prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Louisiana vs Appalachian State pick.

Appalachian State Mountaineers Betting Preview

Appalachian State’s season kicked off with a 38-10 win over East Tennessee State and a 66-20 loss to Clemson. The Mountaineers beat East Carolina 21-19 the next weekend then fell 48-14 to South Alabama. A September 28 matchup with Liberty was canceled due to the hurricane.

Last weekend versus Marshall, the Mountaineers gave up double-digit points in each of the final three quarters during a 52-37 loss. QB Joey Aguilar logged 293 yards with two scores and two picks while also leading the rush on 55 yards off 10 carries.

Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns Betting Preview

Over on the Louisiana side, they got off to a 2-0 start with wins over Grambling State 40-10 and Kennesaw State 34-10. The Cajuns took their first loss in game three versus Tulane, falling 41-33. Louisiana was able to eke out a 41-38 win over Wake Forest the next week, though.

In the Southern Miss game, the Cajuns outscored the Eagles 6-0 in the second half during a 23-13 win. Quarterback Ben Woolridge posted 222 yards with one score. Dre’lyn Washington added 12 carries for 91 yards and a touchdown to top the running game.

Why the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns will win

  • Appalachian State has lost each of its last four road games in October.
  • Louisiana has won 28 of its last 35 games at Cajun Field.
  • Appalachian State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five October games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Louisiana has covered the spread in five of its last six October home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Appalachian State has lost the first half in each of its last three games against conference opponents.
  • Louisiana has won the first quarter in three of its last four games against conference opponents.

Why the Appalachian State Mountaineers will win

  • The underdog has won four of the last five games between Appalachian State and Louisiana.
  • The underdog has covered the spread in six of the last seven games between Appalachian State and Louisiana.
  • Louisiana has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games at Cajun Field.

Total Points Facts

  • Seven of Louisiana’s last eight October home games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Four of Appalachian State’s last five games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Louisiana ranks T5th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (14.0).
  • Louisiana ranks 8th among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (147.2).
  • Appalachian State ranks 133rd among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (14.4).
  • Appalachian State ranks 133rd among FBS teams for H1 opponent points per game this season (27.0).

Louisiana vs Appalachian State Prediction

I’m going with Louisiana. Although it was a pretty quiet second half, the Cajuns looked pretty good against an overmatched Southern Miss team last weekend. Louisiana amassed 410 total yards (188 rushing), 22 first downs, and a nice 41:35 in time of possession. The Cajuns gave up 177 yards (140 passing), 4.4 yards per play, and eight first downs on the other side.

As for App State, they couldn’t keep pace with a fiery Marshall team over the weekend, and the 15 penalties (for 158 yards) didn’t help. The Mountaineers posted 473 yards total (293 passing) and 32 first downs but went just 3-of-14 on third-down tries. I do like Appalachian State to shape up and be competitive here but I don’t think they’ll cover.

Andrew's Free Pick: Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns -10

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Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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