Troy Trojans (3-2) vs. Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns (4-2)
October 17, 2026 5:00 pm EDT
The Line: Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns -3.5 / Troy Trojans 3.5; Over/Under: 49.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Troy Trojans and Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns meet Saturday in week 7 college football action at Our Lady of Lourdes Stadium. Here’s a Louisiana vs. Troy Prediction. This article will include a Louisiana vs. Troy Pick.
Troy Trojans Betting Preview
The Troy Trojans lost to Utah State, beat Southern Miss, and they play UL Monroe next. Troy has split its last 12 games. Goose Crowder is completing 56.9 percent of his passes for 1,047 yards, 9 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. TJ Keyes and Noreel White have combined for 429 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Howard Kinchen has 13 receptions.
The Troy Trojans ground game is averaging 220.4 yards per contest, and Gavin Griffin leads the way with 337 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Troy is allowing 24 points and 349.8 yards per game. Keno Jones leads the Troy Trojans with 35 tackles, Donnie Smith has 5 sacks, and Jamarion Keyes has 1 interception.
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns Betting Preview
The Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns beat Arkansas State, lost to LA Tech, and they play Southern Miss next. The Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns have won 3 of their last 4 games. Lunch Winfield is completing 72.4 percent of his passes for 1,083 yards, 3 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. KeDarius Wade and Trenton Chaney have combined for 337 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while Landon Strother has 11 receptions.
The Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns ground game is averaging 193 yards per contest, and Lunch Winfield leads the way with 398 yards and 8 touchdowns. Defensively, Louisiana-Lafayette is allowing 21.5 points and 303.5 yards per game. Jake St. Andre leads the Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns with 40 tackles, Lester Jones has 2 sacks, and Brent Gordon Jr. has 2 interceptions.
Why the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns will win
- Louisiana has won seven of its last eight home games.
- The favorite has covered the spread in six of the last seven games between Troy and Louisiana.
- Troy has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Louisiana has won the first quarter in each of its last four home games.
- Troy has lost the first half in 13 of its last 15 October games as a road underdog.
Why the Troy Trojans will win
- Troy has won each of its last five games in October.
- Louisiana has lost four of its last five games in October.
- Troy has covered the spread in each of its last six games in October.
- Louisiana has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four home games in October.
- Troy has won the first quarter in three of its last four games as an underdog in Louisiana.
- Louisiana has lost the first half in each of its last four games in October.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Troy’s last six games as an underdog have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Ten of Louisiana’s last 11 home games in October have gone UNDER the total points line.
Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 7, Lunch Winfield leads the Sun Belt Conference for touchdowns (8) this season.
Troy Trojans Player Prop Facts
- Donnie Smith has recorded at least one sack in eight consecutive games- the longest streak in the FBS, heading into Week 7.
Matchup/League Facts
- Louisiana ranks T3rd among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (1.2).
- Louisiana ranks T6th among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (95.8).
- Troy ranks 2nd among FBS teams for red zone percentage against this season (63.2).
- Troy ranks 4th among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (34:23).
Louisiana vs Troy Prediction
Troy has had issues stepping up in competition and has an offense that can’t finish drives. Louisiana has issues of its own but its taken care of business in games its suppsoed to and is 5-1 ATS on the season. Louisiana has covered 7 of its last 10 games overall. Troy has had issues scoring on the road, which includes scoring 17 or fewer points in each of its last four road games. We’re not being asked to lay much. I’ll side with the covering machine that is Louisiana.
