Texas State Bobcats (3-3) vs. Marshall Thundering Herd (3-3)
October 18, 2025 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: Marshall Thundering Herd 2.5 / Texas State Bobcats -2.5; Over/Under: 67.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Texas State Bobcats and Marshall Thundering Herd meet Saturday in college football action at Joan C. Edwards Stadium. Here’s a Marshall vs Texas State Prediction. This article will include a Marshall vs Texas State Pick.
Texas State Bobcats Betting Preview
The Texas State Bobcats lost to Arkansas State and Troy, and they play James Madison next. Texas State has won 7 of its last 11 games. Brad Jackson is completing 70 percent of his passes for 1,342 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Beau Sparks and Chris Dawn Jr. have combined for 831 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Kyle Evans has 14 receptions.
The Texas State Bobcats ground game is averaging 250.2 yards per contest, and Lincoln Pare leads the way with 581 yards and 8 touchdowns. Defensively, Texas State is allowing 29.8 points and 394.7 yards per game. Treylin Payne leads the Texas State Bobcats with 42 tackles, Kalil Alexander has 3 sacks and Khamari Terrell has 1 interception.
Marshall Thundering Herd Betting Preview
The Marshall Thundering Herd lost to Louisiana, beat Old Dominion, and they play Coastal Carolina next. The Marshall Thundering Herd have won 10 of their last 13 games. Carlos Del Rio-Wilson is completing 76.4 percent of his passes for 856 yards, 11 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Demarcus Lacey and Toby Payne have combined for 563 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Xayvion Turner-Bradshaw has 7 receptions.
The Marshall Thundering Herd ground game is averaging 197.8 yards per contest, and Michal Allen leads the way with 310 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Marshall is allowing 29.8 points and 389.5 yards per game. Kerion Martin leads the Marshall Thundering Herd with 38 tackles, Braydin Ward has 3 sacks and Boogie Trotter has 4 interceptions.
Why the Marshall Thundering Herd will win
- Marshall has won each of its last seven home games against conference opponents.
- Texas State has lost each of its last four October games as a favorite.
- Marshall has covered the spread in each of its last seven games as an underdog.
- Texas State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games.
- Marshall has won the first half in five of its last six home games against conference opponents.
Why the Texas State Bobcats will win
- Texas State has covered the spread in three of its last four games after coming off overtime.
- Marshall has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four October games as an underdog.
Total Points Facts
- Thirteen of Texas State’s last 14 October road games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Six of Marshall’s last seven home games against conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
Marshall Thundering Herd Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 8, Carlos Del Rio-Wilson ranks 1st amongst qualified players for passer rating (145.4) this season.
Texas State Bobcats Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 8, Lincoln Pare ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Marshall ranks T12th among FBS teams for interceptions this season (8).
- Marshall ranks T116th among FBS teams for H2 opponent points per game this season (14.7).
- Texas State has given up the largest 2nd quarter lead to win a game this season – 14 points vs Troy.
- Texas State has given up the largest 1st quarter lead to win a game this season – 21 points vs Troy.
Marshall vs Texas State Prediction
You can argue Texas State is the more talented team, but it’s also lost 3 of its last 4 games and continues to head in the wrong direction defensively. Texas State is 103rd in total defense and 116th in scoring defense. Those things don’t get better on the road. Marshall runs the ball well enough and is 40th in scoring offense to take advantage of those struggles.
Marshall is 7-0-1 ATS in its last 8 games as an underdog, and has outright won 4 of its last 5 games as an underdog. Marshall has outright won 8 of its last 13 games as a home underdog. Texas State has underachieved up to this point if we’re being honest. Give me Marshall and the points.
