The Bowling Green Falcons and the Miami-OH RedHawks meet Saturday in college football action from Yager Stadium. Bowling Green last played over the weekend versus Georgia Tech. In that game the Falcons bagged an 11-point victory. As for Miami-OH, they’re coming off a matchup versus Kent State. The RedHawks would go on to win by 20 points. Check back all season long for free college football picks at Sports Chat Place.

Bowling Green Falcons 

The Falcons managed a 38-15 win over Eastern Illinois in their second outing this year, but lost the other three of their first four games. Bowling Green fell to Liberty 34-24 in the opener, then dropped a blowout 31-6 to Michigan a couple weeks later and 38-7 to Ohio the next weekend. Falcons QB Connor Bazelak posted just 104 yards and two picks in the loss to the Bobcats. 

In Saturday’s matchup versus Georgia Tech, Bowling Green held a slim 17-14 lead going into the third quarter. The Falcons scored 21 points from there and powered out a win 38-27. Bazelak had 263 yards with a TD in the win, and Terion Stewart rushed for 138 yards and a score. Finn Hogan added 102 yards with a TD on six catches. 

Bowling Green Falcons Team Facts

Bowling Green has won three of its last four October games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
Bowling Green has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games against conference opponents.
Bowling Green has lost the first half in each of its last three games against conference opponents at Fred C. Yager Stadium.
Bowling Green has won the first quarter in each of its last seven road games against conference opponents.
Seven of Bowling Green’s last eight road games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.

Miami-OH RedHawks 

Over on the RedHawks’ side, they had an unenviable matchup versus a very good Miami Hurricanes team in their opener. That one turned into a 38-3 loss, but Miami-OH hit a win streak after that. The next three games were all wins over UMass 41-28, Cincinnati 31-24 in overtime and Delaware State 62-20. 

Last weekend versus Kent State, the RedHawks posted 10 points in both the first and third quarters during a 23-3 win. Quarterback Brett Gabbert posted 216 yards with one touchdown. Rashad Amos had 54 rushing yards and a score off 13 carries, while Joe Wilkins had three catches for 110 yards to top the receivers. 

Miami (OH) RedHawks Team Facts

Miami (OH) has won 18 of its last 20 games at Fred C. Yager Stadium.
Miami (OH) has covered the spread in each of its last four games.
Miami (OH) has lost the first half in each of its last three home games against conference opponents.
Each of Miami (OH)’s last six October games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

Miami (OH) was one of only eight FBS teams to lose 3+ games when leading after Q3 last season.
Miami (OH) ranked 13th among FBS teams for Q2 points allowed per game last season (4.8).
Bowling Green recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of five points or less of any FBS team last season (3).

ANDREW’S FREE PICK 

I’ll probably lean toward Miami-OH in this one, but I’m probably also staying away. The RedHawks collected another pretty solid victory versus Kent State over the weekend during a nice defensive performance. Miami-OH gave up just 206 yards (36 rushing), 14 first downs and 3-of-15 on third-down tries. The RedHawks weren’t all that impressive on the other side (292 total yards; 3-of-12 on third downs) but they took care of the ball well. 

As for Bowling Green, they bounced back well from consecutive losses with their win over Georgia Tech back on Saturday. The Falcons will need to get off to a good start in this one and keep the offense humming along if they want to keep the pace. I don’t think Bowling Green will quite be able to get there.