Michigan State vs Rutgers 11/12/22 College Football Picks, Predictions, Odds

The Michigan State Spartans and Rutgers Scarlet Knights clash Saturday in week 11 Big Ten college football action at Spartan Stadium. The Rutgers Scarlet Knights need a win after losing 5 of their last 6 games. The Michigan State Spartans need a win after losing 5 of their last 7 games.

The Rutgers Scarlet Knights have split their last 4 home games. Evan Simon is completing 57.7 percent of his passes for 740 yards, 4 touchdowns and 6 interceptions. Sean Ryan and Aron Cruickshank have combined for 640 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Shameen Jones has 11 receptions. The Rutgers Scarlet Knights ground game is averaging 134.3 yards per contest, and Samuel Brown V leads the way with 374 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Rutgers is allowing 25.8 points and 311.6 yards per game. Deion Jennings leads the Rutgers Scarlet Knights with 75 tackles, Wesley Bailey has 3.5 sacks and Christian Braswell has 3 interceptions.

The Michigan State Spartans have won 3 of their last 5 home games. Payton Thorne is completing 64.4 percent of his passes for 1,896 yards, 14 touchdowns and 9 interceptions. Keon Coleman and Jayden Reed have combined for 1,032 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns, while Tre Mosley has 26 receptions. The Michigan State Spartans ground game is averaging 99.3 yards per contest, and Jalen Berger leads the way with 465 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, Michigan State is allowing 26 points and 426.7 yards per game. Cal Haladay leads the Michigan State Spartans with 80 tackles, Jacoby Windmon has 5.5 sacks and Charles Brantley has 1 interception.

The Scarlet Knights are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. The Spartans are 8-2-2 ATS in their last 12 home games and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The under is 20-6 in Scarlet Knights last 26 road games. The under is 7-3 in Spartans last 10 games overall. The road team is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

The Michigan State Spartans are the better team and being at home helps where they’ve won 3 of their last 5 tries. However, I’m not sure MSU is double-digit points better than anybody. Michigan State has issues finishing drives offensively and is 105th in total offense with a unit that struggles mightily against the pass. The Rutgers Scarlet Knights are good enough defensively to hang around. I’ll snag the points with the Scarlet Knights.