Middle Tennessee vs Jacksonville State Prediction Football Picks Today 9/26/26

In this article, we will formulate a Middle Tennessee vs Jacksonville State Prediction for this College Football Week 4 matchup on Saturday, September 26^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

Jacksonville State Gamecocks Preview

Jacksonville State has a 2-2 record and are coming off a 31-27 home win against Georgia Southern. They will face Kennesaw State and FIU next. Offensively, Jacksonville State averages 28.5 points per game, ranking 87th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 24 points per game, which is 82nd. Jacksonville State averages 361.3 total yards per game (229.3 passing and 132 rushing), while allowing 322.3 total yards per game (187.8 rushing and 134.5 passing).

Caden Creel leads Jacksonville State with 871 passing yards with 68.7% completed passes and 8 touchdowns, also adding a team-high 256 rushing yards and 2 rushing touchdowns. Deondre Johnson has a team-high 11 receptions for 169 receiving yards. Defensively, Walker O’Steen has a team-high 29 total tackles (12 of them solo), while Tae Floyd leads the team with 2 sacks.

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Preview

Middle Tennessee has a 2-1 record and are coming off a 27-20 home win against Nevada. They will face Kansas and Delaware next. Offensively, Middle Tennessee averages 30.3 points per game, ranking 76th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 20.7 points per game, which is 62nd. Middle Tennessee averages 359.3 total yards per game (205.3 passing and 154 rushing), while allowing 293.3 total yards per game (123 rushing and 170.3 passing).

Roman Gagliano leads Middle Tennessee with 616 passing yards with 59.8% completed passes and 6 touchdowns. Antonio Martin Jr. leads the team in rushing yards with 239, while Cam’ron Lacy has a team-high 23 receptions for 222 receiving yards. Defensively, Korey Smith has a team-high 26 total tackles (11 of them solo), while Jackson Lowe leads the team with one sack.

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders @ Jacksonville State Gamecocks Betting Trends: Week 4

Why the Jacksonville State Gamecocks will win

• Jacksonville State has won each of its last 10 games as a favorite in Alabama.
• Middle Tennessee has lost eight of its last nine road games in September.
• The favorite has covered the spread in each of Jacksonville State’s last six games.
• Middle Tennessee has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games against teams from Alabama.
• Middle Tennessee has lost the first half in each of its last nine road games in September.

Why the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders will win

• Middle Tennessee has won four of its last five games.
• Middle Tennessee has covered the spread in each of its last five games.
• Jacksonville State has lost the first half in four of its last five games in Alabama.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of Middle Tennessee’s last nine September road games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of Jacksonville State’s last four games in September have gone OVER the total points line.

Jacksonville State Gamecocks Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 4, Jamill Williams ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 4, Cam’ron Lacy ranks T9th amongst FBS players for receptions (23) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Two of Jacksonville State’s four games this season have been decided by a margin of seven points or less – equal-most amongst FBS teams.
• Jacksonville State ranks 134th among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (25:37).
• Two of Middle Tennessee’s three games this season have been decided by a margin of seven points or less – equal-most amongst FBS teams.
• Middle Tennessee is one of 10 FBS teams to score in every quarter this season.

Middle Tennessee vs Jacksonville State Prediction

In this Middle Tennessee vs Jacksonville State Prediction, Jacksonville State is coming as -7.5 road favorites. Both teams are coming off wins in their previous games but Middle Tennessee has covered the spread in all of its three games and has better numbers both offensively and defensively. Jacksonville State has allowed 56 total points in its last two games, so I expect the guests to force a close game today, if not win outright. Take Middle Tennessee and grab the +7.5 points in this one.