
Mississippi State vs Kentucky Prediction Football Picks 11-4-23
Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-4) vs Kentucky Wildcats (5-3)
2023-11-04 19:30:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Mississippi State Bulldogs +3.5 -- Over/Under: 45.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Kentucky Wildcats and the Mississippi State Bulldogs meet in week 10 college football action from Davis Wade Stadium on Saturday night.
Kentucky Loses 3rd Straight
The Kentucky Wildcats come into this game on the heels of a third straight loss after a 33-27 loss to Tennessee last time out. Devin Leary has thrown for 1,749 yards, 16 touchdowns and 7 interceptions on 57.3% passing while Ray Davis has a team-high 823 rushing yards and 9 touchdowns this season. Dane Key leads Kentucky with 395 receiving yards along with 3 touchdowns while Tayvion Robinson has 371 receiving yards and Barion Brown has 334 receiving yards with a team-high 28 receptions. On defense, D’Eryk Jackson has a team-high 55 total tackles while Deone Walker has a team-high 4.5 sacks and Trevin Wallace has 3.5 sacks. Maxwell Hairston also has a team-high 5 interceptions this season.
Kentucky Wildcats Team Facts
- Kentucky has won each of its last five November road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Kentucky has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games at Davis Wade Stadium.
- Kentucky has lost the first half in each of its last three games against conference opponents.
- Each of Kentucky’s last five games against conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
Mississippi State Falls To Auburn
The Mississippi State Bulldogs come into this game looking to rebound after falling back to .500 with a 27-13 loss to Auburn last time out. Will Rogers has thrown for 1,275 yards, 10 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 61.4% passing while Mike Wright has thrown for 307 yards, 3 touchdowns and 2 INTs on 58.2% passing. Jo’Quavious Marks has 500 rushing yards to lead the Bulldogs, along with 4 touchdowns, while Lideatrick Griffin has a team-high 35 catches for 512 yards and 3 scores. Zavion Thomas has 266 receiving yards while another four Bulldogs have 100+ receiving yards as well on the year.
Mississippi State Bulldogs Team Facts
- Mississippi State has won each of its last nine home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- The home team has covered the spread in each of the last nine games between Kentucky and Mississippi State.
- Mississippi State has lost the first half in six of its last seven games against conference opponents.
- Each of Mississippi State’s last six home games against conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
Chris’ Pick
I’m on the under here. Despite Kentucky having a high yards per rush rate this season a lot of that is because they’ve relied on big plays for their offense. When those big plays aren’t coming, the offense can be dreadful and I don’t think there’s going to be a ton of success here. I also don’t trust Mississippi State, as the quarterback play has been questionable and the offense also has a tendency to undergo dry spells. I think this could be one of those 24-21 kind of games, so give me the under here.