Auburn Tigers (2-4) vs. Missouri Tigers (5-1)
October 19, 2024 12:00 pm EDT
The Line: Missouri Tigers -4.5 / Auburn Tigers +4.5; Over/Under: +51.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Auburn Tigers and Missouri Tigers meet Saturday in week 8 college football action at Memorial Stadium. Here’s a Missouri vs Auburn Prediction. This article will include a Missouri vs Auburn Pick.
Auburn Tigers Betting Preview
The Auburn Tigers lost to Oklahoma and Georgia, and they play Kentucky next. Auburn has split its last 6 road games. Payton Thorne is completing 59.7 percent of his passes for 1,238 yards, 10 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. KeAndre Lambert-Smith and Malcolm Simmons have combined for 770 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns, while Cam Coleman has 9 receptions.
The Auburn Tigers ground game is averaging 165.5 yards per contest, and Jarquez Hunter leads the way with 528 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Auburn is allowing 20.8 points and 337.7 yards per game. Dorian Mausi Jr. leads the Auburn Tigers with 31 tackles, Keldric Faulk has 5 sacks and Kayin Lee has 1 interception.
Missouri Tigers Betting Preview
The Missouri Tigers beat Massachusetts, lost to Texas A&M, and they play Alabama next. The Missouri Tigers have won 7 straight home games. Brady Cook is completing 64.7 percent of his passes for 1,351 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Theo Wease Jr. and Luther Burden III have combined for 805 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Mookie Cooper has 10 receptions.
The Missouri Tigers ground game is averaging 187.5 yards per contest, and Nate Noel leads the way with 471 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Missouri is allowing 15.3 points and 270.8 yards per game. Corey Flagg Jr. leads the Missouri Tigers with 29 tackles, Chris McClellan has 2.5 sacks and Dreyden Norwood has 1 interception.
Why the Missouri Tigers will win
- Auburn has lost each of its last 13 games against AP-ranked teams.
- Missouri has won each of its last 11 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Missouri has covered the spread in four of its last five games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Auburn has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four October games as an underdog.
- Missouri has won the first half in four of its last five home games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Missouri’s last four October games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Eight of Auburn’s last 10 games against AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Missouri ranks T2nd among FBS teams for 1st downs against this season (78).
- Missouri ranks 3rd among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (2.3).
- Auburn ranks T14th among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (2.8).
- Auburn ranks T22nd among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (8.7).
Missouri vs Auburn Prediction
The Missouri Tigers are the more talented team and should be favored at home, but it’s still hard to overlook that game against Texas A&M. Sorry, a blowout win over UMass doesn’t move the needle. Auburn had an extra week to prepare for this game and has the offense to test a Missouri defense that was torched the last time it played an SEC opponent. Also, Missouri is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games as a home favorite. Missouri’s last two home games were won by a combined 9 points despite being a double-digit favorite in both. Give me Auburn and the points.
