
New Mexico vs UNLV Prediction Football Picks 11-4-23
New Mexico Lobos (3-5) vs UNLV Rebels (6-2)
2023-11-04 18:00:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: New Mexico Lobos +9.5 -- Over/Under: 60.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The UNLV Rebels and New Mexico Lobos meet Saturday in week 10 college football action at University Stadium. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.
UNLV Rebels Betting Preview
The UNLV Rebels look to win at least 7 games for the first time since the 2013 season. The UNLV Rebels have split their last 4 road games. Jayden Maiava is completing 64 percent of his passes for 1,581 yards, 7 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. Ricky White and Jacob De Jesus have combined for 1,067 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Senika McKie has 17 receptions. The UNLV Rebels ground game is averaging 202.9 yards per contest, and Vincent Davis Jr. leads the way with 456 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, UNLV is allowing 6.9 points and 394.3 yards per game. Jackson Woodard leads the UNLV Rebels with 69 tackles, Jerrae Williams has 3 sacks and Jaxen Turner has 4 interceptions.
UNLV Rebels Team Facts
- UNLV has won seven of its last eight games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- UNLV has covered the spread in seven of its last eight games.
- UNLV has won the first half in six of its last seven games against conference opponents.
- Each of UNLV’s last three games against non-AP-ranked teams at University Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.
New Mexico Lobos Betting Preview
The New Mexico Lobos need a win after losing 4 of their last 6 games. New Mexico has split its last 4 home games. Dylan Hopkins is completing 58.1 percent of his passes for 1,638 yards, 11 touchdowns and 7 interceptions. Jeremiah Hixon and Caleb Medford have combined for 593 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while D.J. Washington has 21 receptions. The New Mexico Lobos ground game is averaging 167.6 yards per contest, and Jacory Croskey-Merritt leads the way with 589 yards and 12 touchdowns. Defensively, New Mexico is allowing 32.8 points and 407.8 yards per game. Tavian Combs leads the New Mexico Lobos with 46 tackles, Kyler Drake has 1.5 sacks and Jermarius Lewis has 2 interceptions.
New Mexico Lobos Team Facts
- New Mexico has lost each of its last 24 games in November.
- New Mexico has failed to cover the spread in each of its last 10 November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- New Mexico has lost the first half in 18 of its last 22 games against conference opponents at University Stadium.
- Each of New Mexico’s last six home games against conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- The UNLV are one of only 21 FBS teams undefeated in home games this season.
- UNLV rank 26th among FBS teams for points per game this season (34.3).
Randy’s Pick
The New Mexico Lobos have been outmatched against every good team they’ve played this season. New Mexico is one of the worst defensive teams in the country, ranked 106th in total defense and 114th in scoring defense. UNLV is enjoying its best season in well over a decade, and its top-20 rushing attack should feast in this contest. New Mexico doesn’t have the horses to keep up. Give me UNLV in a double-digit road victory.