North Texas vs Tulsa Prediction 9-28-24 College Football Picks
Tulsa Golden Hurricane (2-2) vs. North Texas Mean Green (3-1)
September 28, 2024 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: North Texas Mean Green -6.5 / Tulsa Golden Hurricane +6.5; Over/Under: +68.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Tulsa Golden Hurricane and North Texas Mean Green meet Saturday in week 5 college football action at DATCU Stadium. Here’s a North Texas vs Tulsa Prediction. This article will include a North Texas vs Tulsa Pick.
Tulsa Golden Hurricane Betting Preview
The Tulsa Golden Hurricane lost to Oklahoma State, beat Louisiana Tech and play Army next. Tulsa has lost 5 of its last 8 road games. Kirk Francis is completing 61.6 percent of his passes for 879 yards, 6 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Kamdyn Benjamin and Zion Steptoe have combined for 468 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Corey Smith has 5 receptions.
The Tulsa Golden Hurricane ground game is averaging 176.8 yards per contest, and Anthony Watkins leads the way with 186 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Tulsa is allowing 30.3 points and 366.5 yards per game. Gavin Potter leads the Tulsa Golden Hurricane with 27 tackles, Myles Jackson has 2 sacks and NuNu Campbell has 1 interception.
North Texas Mean Green Betting Preview
The North Texas Mean Green lost to Texas Tech, beat Wyoming and plays FAU next. North Texas has won 3 straight home games. Chandler Morris is completing 65.6 percent of his passes for 1,204 yards, 11 touchdowns and 6 interceptions. Damon Ward Jr. and DT Sheffield have combined for 545 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Wyatt Young has 6 receptions.
The North Texas Mean Green ground game is averaging 159.3 yards per contest, and Damashja Harris leads the way with 193 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, North Texas is allowing 35.3 points and 415 yards per game. Jayden Hill leads the North Texas Mean Green with 30 tackles, Chavez Brown has 2 sacks and Brian Nelson II has 1 interception.
Why the North Texas Mean Green will win
- North Texas has won each of its last 13 games as a home favorite.
- Tulsa has lost six of its last seven games against conference opponents.
- North Texas has covered the spread in nine of its last 10 home games against conference opponents.
- Tulsa has failed to cover the spread in 12 of its last 16 games against conference opponents.
- Tulsa has lost the first half in each of its last six road games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Nine of North Texas’ last 10 September games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
- Seven of Tulsa’s last eight September games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- North Texas ranks 133rd among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (18.0).
- North Texas ranks 132nd among FBS teams for H1 opponent points per game this season (26.3).
- Tulsa ranks 119th among FBS teams for H2 opponent points per game this season (16.3).
- Tulsa ranks T109th among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (8.5).
North Texas vs Tulsa Prediction
The Tulsa Golden Hurricane are awful defensively, which includes being 105th in pass defense and scoring defense. The North Texas Mean Green have defensive issues of their own, ranked 107th in total defense, 124th in pass defense and 121st in scoring defense. North Texas has seen 4 of its last 5 games go over the total. This is a massive total, but the numbers suggest there’s going to be fireworks. Give me the over between North Texas and Tulsa.