The Arkansas Razorbacks and the Ole Miss Rebels meet in week 6 college football action from Vaught-Hemingway Stadium on Saturday night.

Razorbacks Lose Third Straight

The Arkansas Razorbacks lost their 3rd game in a row, falling to 2-3 on the year after a 34-22 loss to Texas A&M last time out. KJ Jefferson has thrown for 1,050 yards, 10 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 68% passing while AJ Green has a team-high 195 rushing yards and Rashod Dubinion has 177 rushing yards. Andrew Armstrong leads Arkansas in receiving with 27 grabs for 351 yards and 4 touchdowns while Luke Hasz has 16 grabs for 253 yards and 3 TDs. Two more Razorback receivers have 100+ receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Jaheim Thomas has a team-high 48 total tackles and 3 sacks while Dwight McGlothern has a pair of interceptions. As a unit, Arkansas’ defense has combined for 14 sacks and 7 interceptions.

Arkansas Razorbacks Team Facts

Arkansas has lost 12 of its last 13 October games against AP-ranked teams.
Arkansas has covered the spread in nine of its last 10 games against Ole Miss.
Arkansas has won the first half in each of its last three road games against conference opponents.
Seven of Arkansas’ last eight games against conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

Ole Miss Wins Thriller Vs. LSU

The Ole Miss Rebels took out LSU last time out to improve to 4-1 on the year with a 55-49 victory over the Tigers last time out. Jaxson Dart has thrown for 1,485 yards, 11 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 64.1% passing while also rushing for 269 yards and 4 TDs. Quinshon Judkins has rushed for a team-high 378 rushing yards with 5 touchdowns and Jordan Watkins has a team-high 29 grabs for 450 yards. Dayton Wade has 23 grabs for 367 receiving yards while Tre Harris has 16 catches for 341 yards and 4 TD receptions this season. On defense, Trey Washington has a team-high 32 total tackles while Suntarine Perkins has 3 sacks as part of Ole Miss’ 17 sacks as a team this season.

Ole Miss Rebels Team Facts

Ole Miss has won 13 of its last 14 games against non-AP-ranked teams at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium.
Ole Miss has covered the spread in four of its last five games.
Ole Miss has won the first quarter in six of its last seven home games against conference opponents.
Ole Miss has won the first half in each of its last 11 home games against conference opponents.
Five of Ole Miss’ last six October home games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

Ole Miss ranked 7th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game last season (10.1).
Ole Miss was one of only 14 FBS teams to lose 3+ games when leading at HT last season.
Arkansas ranked T21st among FBS teams for Q2 win percentage last season (.615).
Arkansas ranked T25th among FBS teams for Q4 win percentage last season (.538).

Chris’ Pick

I’m on the over in this one. I think Ole Miss probably wins this game comfortably, but realistically, I’m not sure that I can trust the Rebels’ defense to hold up enough here to win by a few scores. Arkansas’ defense has been torched as well but they’re decent offensively and have solid QB play with KJ Jefferson leading the charge. Give me the over.