Ole Miss vs LSU Prediction Football Picks 9-30-23
Ole Miss Rebels (3-1) vs LSU Tigers (3-1)
2023-09-30 18:00:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Ole Miss Rebels +2.5 -- Over/Under: 63.5
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The LSU Tigers and Ole Miss Rebels meet Saturday in week 5 college football action at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.
LSU Tigers Betting Preview
The LSU Tigers look for a fourth straight win to stay in the SEC West race. LSU has won 4 of its last 5 road games. Jayden Daniels is completing 72.6 percent of his passes for 1,296 yards, 12 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Malik Nabers and Brian Thomas Jr. have combined for 936 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns, while Kyren Lacy has 6 receptions. The LSU Tigers ground game is averaging 191.8 yards per contest, and Logan Diggs leads the way with 253 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, LSU is allowing 25 points and 360.3 yards per game. Major Burns leads the LSU Tigers with 27 tackles, Harold Perkins Jr. has 2 sacks and Greg Penn III has 1 interception.
LSU Tigers Team Facts
- The team ranked 13th in the AP Poll has won each of its last six games.
- The team ranked 13th in the AP Poll has covered the spread in each of its last five games.
- LSU has lost the first half in three of its last four games against conference opponents.
- LSU has won the first quarter in each of its last three games against conference opponents at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium.
- Each of LSU’s last eight games have gone OVER the total points line.
Ole Miss Rebels Betting Preview
The Ole Miss Rebels look for their third home win to improve to 4-1 on the season. Ole Miss has won 7 of its last 9 home games. Jaxson Dart is completing 63.1 percent of his passes for 1,096 yards, 7 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Jordan Watkins and Dayton Wade have combined for 650 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while Tre Harris has 8 receptions. The Ole Miss Rebels ground game is averaging 146.8 yards per contest, and Dart leads the way with 219 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Ole Miss is allowing 18.5 points and 356 yards per game. Trey Washington leads the Ole Miss Rebels with 25 tackles, Suntarine Perkins has 3 sacks and Daijahn Anthony has 1 interception.
Ole Miss Rebels Team Facts
- Ole Miss has won each of its last seven September games at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium.
- The home team has covered the spread in nine of the last 10 games between LSU and Ole Miss.
- Ole Miss has won the first half in each of its last 10 home games against conference opponents.
- Ole Miss has won the first quarter in five of its last six home games against conference opponents.
- Each of Ole Miss’ last seven games against AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Ole Miss ranked 7th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game last season (10.1).
- Ole Miss was one of only 14 FBS teams to lose 3+ games when leading at HT last season.
- LSU was one of only five FBS teams to win 4+ games when trailing after Q1 last season.
- LSU ranked T10th among FBS teams for Q3 win percentage last season (.643).
Randy’s Pick
LSU is coming off a physical game against Arkansas and Ole Miss is fresh off a game against Alabama, so these could be two beat up tired teams. LSU is the deeper, more talented team, but Ole Miss has scary potential offensively and should be eager to redeem itself after coming up small last week. LSU has also been shaky at times defensively this season, and that includes being 72nd against the pass and 76th in scoring defense. Ole Miss looked unstoppable offensively until last week. At home, this is a winnable game for the Rebels. Give me the home dog.