College Football

Ole Miss vs Texas Prediction Football Picks Today 10/24/26

Ole Miss Rebels (5-1) vs. Texas Longhorns (4-2)
October 24, 2026 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Texas Longhorns -162 / Ole Miss Rebels 136; Over/Under: 53.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate an Ole Miss vs Texas Prediction for this College Football Week 8 matchup on Saturday, October 24th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

Texas Longhorns Preview

Texas has a 4-2 record and a 1-2 record in the SEC. They are coming off a 24-27 home loss against Florida and will face Mississippi State and Missouri next.

Offensively, Texas averages 30.2 points per game, ranking 64th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 17.8 points per game, which is 29th. Texas averages 362.3 total yards per game (226.3 passing and 136.0 rushing), while allowing 272.5 total yards per game (106.3 rushing and 166.2 passing).

Arch Manning leads Texas with 1,295 passing yards with 63.9% completed passes and 11 touchdowns. Raleek Brown leads the team in rushing yards with 265, while Cam Coleman has a team-high 336 receiving yards and 20 receptions. Defensively, Rasheem Biles has a team-high 49 total tackles (24 of them solo), while Colin Simmons leads the team with 10.5 sacks.

Ole Miss Rebels Preview

Ole Miss has a 5-1 record and a 3-1 record in the SEC. They are coming off a 31-3 home win against Missouri and will face Auburn and Georgia next.

Offensively, Ole Miss averages 37.5 points per game, ranking 20th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 23.8 points per game, which is 73rd. Ole Miss averages 444.5 total yards per game (290.7 passing and 153.8 rushing), while allowing 390.0 total yards per game (153.5 rushing and 236.5 passing).

Trinidad Chambliss leads Ole Miss with 1,676 passing yards with 67.6% completed passes and 14 touchdowns. Kewan Lacy leads the team in rushing yards with 352, while Deuce Alexander has a team-high 523 receiving yards and 35 receptions. Defensively, Luke Ferrelli has a team-high 39 total tackles (20 of them solo), while Blake Purchase leads the team with 3.5 sacks.

Ole Miss Rebels @ Texas Longhorns Betting Trends: Week 8

 

Why the Texas Longhorns will win

  • Texas has won each of its last four games against top-15 AP-ranked teams at Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium.
  • Ole Miss has lost nine of its last 10 October road games against AP-ranked teams.
  • Ole Miss has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine October road games as an AP-ranked team against an AP-ranked team.
  • The favorite has covered the spread in each of Ole Miss’ last three games.
  • Texas has won the first quarter in each of its last four games.
  • The favorite has won the first half in nine of Ole Miss’ last 10 games.

Why the Ole Miss Rebels will win

  • Ole Miss has won eight of its last nine games against conference opponents.
  • Texas has failed to cover the spread in each of its last seven October games as an AP-ranked team.
  • The underdog has covered the spread in each of Texas’ last five games.
  • Ole Miss has won the first half in each of its last eight October games as a top-10 AP-ranked team.
  • Ole Miss has won the first quarter in each of its last three October games as an underdog.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Ole Miss’ last seven games as an underdog against teams from Texas have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Each of Texas’ last seven October games at Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.

Texas Longhorns Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 8, Colin Simmons ranks 1st amongst FBS players for sacks (10.5) this season.

Ole Miss Rebels Player Prop Facts

  • Trinidad Chambliss has recorded a 130.0+ passer rating in 12 consecutive games – longest streak in the FBS.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Texas has overturned the largest 3rd quarter deficit to win a game this season – 20 points vs Ohio State.
  • Four of Texas’ six games this season have been decided by a margin of three points or less – most amongst FBS teams.
  • Ole Miss ranks T1st among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (100.0).
  • Ole Miss ranks 137th among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (9.8).

Ole Miss vs Texas Prediction

In this Ole Miss vs Texas prediction, Texas is coming as -3.5 home favorites. Texas is being favorited because its playing at home where is 3-1 this season, but it has back-to-back losses and has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five games. They will be playing an Ole Miss team that is 5-1 in its last 6 games and 3-1 ATS, while having the 20th-best offense in the entire country, so I like them as road dogs in this spot. Take Ole Miss and grab those +3.5 points in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: Ole Miss +3.5

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