Oregon State vs Houston Prediction Football Picks Today 9/26/25

In this article we will formulate an Oregon State vs Houston prediction for this College Football game on Friday, September 26th at Reser Stadium in Corvallis, Oregon. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 5 matchup. 

Oregon State Beavers Betting Preview

The Oregon State Beavers are 0-4 this season after they lost to Oregon by a score of 41-7 in their last game. Oregon State tied the game at seven in the first quarter, but they were shutout 34-0 the rest of the way for the blowout loss. The Beavers were out gained by a total of 585-147, went 4-12 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 1-0 in the game. Maalik Murphy went 5-18 for 68 yards, while Anthony Hankerson rushed 14 times for 38 yards and one score. Taz Reddicks caught two passes for 27 yards to lead the receivers. The OSU defense recorded one sack and four tackles for loss in the defeat. 

Oregon State also has losses against California, Fresno State, and Texas Tech to start the season. The Beavers are averaging 16.3 points per game with 249.3 passing yards and 70.0 rushing yards per game, while they are allowing 39.0 points against per game this season. Maalik Murphy has completed 57.3% of his passes for 964 yards, six touchdowns, and five interceptions, while Trent Walker has caught 23 passes for 302 yards. Anthony Hankerson has led the rushing attack with 65 carries for 228 yards and two scores this season. 

Houston Cougars Betting Preview

The Houston Cougars are 3-0 (1-0) this year after they defeated Colorado by a score of 36-20 last week. Houston led 16-14 at halftime and they were able to score the first 17 points in the second half to pull away with the win. The Cougars out gained Colorado by a total of 431-300, went 7-18 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a margin of 2-0 in the game. Conner Weigman went 15-24 for 222 yards, while Dean Connors rushed 22 times for 89 yards and one touchdown. Stephon Johnson caught five passes for 117 yards to lead Houston in the game. The Houston defense recorded three sacks and seven tackles for loss in the win. 

Houston started the season with a 27-0 win over Stephen F. Austin and a 35-9 win over Rice in their first two games. The Cougars are averaging 32.7 points per game with 187.3 passing yards and 201.3 rushing yards per game, while they are allowing 9.7 points against per game this season. Conner Weigman has completed 64.3% of his passes for 569 yards and four touchdowns, while Stephon Johnson has caught six passes for 191 yards and one score. The leading rusher for Houston is Dean Connors, who has rushed 50 times for 271 yards and three touchdowns this year. 

Why Houston will beat Oregon State

• Oregon State has lost each of its last 10 games against non-conference opponents.
• The favorite has won each of Houston’s last six games.
• Oregon State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last eight games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Houston has covered the spread in each of its last four games.
• Oregon State has lost the first half in each of its last six games against non-conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Ten of Houston’s last 11 September road games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of Oregon State’s last three home games have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Oregon State ranks 134th among FBS teams for average point differential in second quarters this season (-8.0).
• Oregon State ranks 133rd among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (70.0).
• Houston ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
• Houston ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (0.0).

Oregon State vs Houston Prediction 

Oregon State comes into this matchup with an 0-4 record and they have allowed 34+ points in all four games. The Beavers have really struggled in their first four games and I don’t have much faith in them turning it around. Houston is coming off of a dominant win over Colorado last week and they have scored 35+ points in each of their last two games. The Cougars should continue to roll in this matchup and I expect them to dominate both sides of the ball. Take Houston to cover on the road here. 

David Racey is 18-9 (67%) in his last 27 College Football plays this season and is #1 on the leaderboard. Click here for his premium plays for this week!