Oregon State vs UNLV Prediction 10-19-24 College Football Picks
UNLV Rebels (5-1) vs. Oregon State Beavers (4-2)
October 19, 2024 10:00 pm EDT
The Line: Oregon State Beavers +7.5 / UNLV Rebels -7.5; Over/Under: +61.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article we will formulate an Oregon State vs UNLV prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, October 19th at Reser Stadium in Corvallis, Oregon. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week eight matchup.
Oregon State Beavers Betting Preview
The Oregon State Beavers are 4-2 this year after they lost to Nevada by a score of 42-37 in their last game. Oregon State led 17-14 at halftime and 24-14 in the third quarter, but they allowed 28 points in the last 21 minutes for the loss. The Beavers out gained Nevada by a total of 562-422, lost the turnover battle 4-0, and went 12-16 on third down in the game. Gevani McCoy threw for 348 yards, one touchdown, and four interceptions, while Anthony Hankerson rushed for 154 yards and three scores.
Oregon State also has a loss against Oregon, but they do have wins against Idaho State, San Diego State, Purdue, and Colorado State. The Oregon State offense has scored 31.2 points per game with 184.7 passing yards and 256 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 26.3 points against per game this season. The Beavers have gone 55% on third down and 8-15 on fourth down through six games. Gevani McCoy has completed 63.3% of his passes for 1,066 yards, three touchdowns, and five interceptions, while Anthony Hankerson has rushed for 639 yards and 12 scores.
UNLV Rebels Betting Preview
The UNLV Rebels are 5-1 (2-0) this season after they defeated Utah State by a score of 50-34 in their last game. UNLV led 41-7 at halftime, but they did allow 27 points in the second half in the win. The Rebels were out gained by a total of 584-546, lost the turnover battle 4-0, and went 8-17 on third down in the game. Hajj-Malik Williams threw for 233 yards and three touchdowns, while Jai’Den Thomas rushed for 139 yards and one score.
UNLV has also defeated Houston, Utah Tech, Kansas, and Fresno State, but they do have a loss against Syracuse. The UNLV offense has scored 45.3 points per game with 174.7 passing yards and 262 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 22.2 points against per game this season. The Rebels have gone 35.3% on third down and 6-9 on fourth down through six games. Hajj-Malik Williams has completed 77% of his passes for 642 yards, nine touchdowns, and one interception, while also rushing for 325 yards and two scores.
Why Oregon State will cover
- Oregon State has won each of its last 16 games against non-AP-ranked teams at Reser Stadium.
- UNLV has lost 23 of its last 28 games in October.
- UNLV has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight October games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Oregon State has covered the spread in each of its last five games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Oregon State has won the first quarter in nine of its last 12 games against non-conference opponents at Reser Stadium.
- Oregon State has won the first half in each of its last seven games against opponents from the Mountain West Conference.
Why UNLV will cover
- UNLV has won seven of its last eight road games.
- Oregon State has lost each of its last six games as an underdog.
- UNLV has covered the spread in each of its last 14 road games against non-conference opponents.
- Oregon State has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five home games against non-conference opponents.
- UNLV has won the first half in three of its last four games against non-conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of UNLV’s last five games as a favorite have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of Oregon State’s last four games against non-conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Oregon State ranks 1st among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (36:11).
- Oregon State ranks T2nd among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage against this season (14.3).
- UNLV ranks T1st among FBS teams for interceptions this season (13).
- UNLV ranks 1st among FBS teams for average point differential in second quarters this season (+12.5).
Oregon State vs UNLV Prediction
UNLV comes into this matchup after winning five of their first six games this season, but they will be on the road in a tough place to play here. Oregon State is just 2-2 in their last four games and they haven’t looked very good in their last two against Nevada and Colorado State, where they allowed 31 and 42 points. We know this UNLV offense is very high scoring, but their defense is definitely a concern after allowing 34 and 44 in their last two games. I think we are going to have a very high scoring game here, so I am taking the over in this matchup.