Sacramento State vs Central Michigan Prediction Football Picks Today 11/11/26
Sacramento State Hornets (2-8) vs. Central Michigan Chippewas (4-5)
November 11, 2026 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Central Michigan Chippewas -1050 / Sacramento State Hornets 675; Over/Under: 43.5
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Sacramento State vs Central Michigan Prediction
In this Sacramento State vs Central Michigan prediction for this College Football Week 11 matchup on Wednesday, November 11th, Central Michigan is coming as -18.5 home favorites. Central Michigan has been the better team this season and while they are 1-3 in their last 4 games, they have covered the spread in their last three. They will be facing a struggling Sac State team that is 1-7 in its last 8 games and 2-4 against the spread and has been weaker both on the offensive and the defensive end, having the 6th-worst offense in the entire country with just 17 points per game. Both teams average just 36.8 ppg combined and as a result, they are 6-1 to the under in their last 7 games combined. Take the under 43.5 points in this one.
Central Michigan Chippewas Preview
Central Michigan has a 4-5 record and a 2-3 record in the MAC. They are coming off a 35-7 home win against Eastern Michigan and will face Buffalo and Ball State next.
Offensively, Central Michigan averages 19.8 points per game, ranking 123rd in the nation, while defensively, they allow 23.8 points per game, which is 63rd. Central Michigan averages 305.6 total yards per game (129.0 passing and 176.6 rushing), while allowing 338.6 total yards per game (167.0 rushing and 171.6 passing). They average 61.4 plays per game and 5.0 yards per play on offense, while allowing 62.1 plays per game and 5.5 yards per play on defense. Central Michigan averages 16.8 first downs per game on offense and 20.3 first downs per game on defense. They are averaging 1.2 turnovers per game and forcing 1.6 turnovers per game.
Jadyn Glasser leads Central Michigan with 638 passing yards with 60.2% completed passes and 3 touchdowns. Angel Flores leads the team in rushing yards with 618, while Langston Lewis has a team-high 379 receiving yards and 24 receptions. Defensively, Mayson Hitchens has a team-high 68 total tackles (18 of them solo), while Jaxon Cherry leads the team with 3.0 sacks.
Sacramento State Hornets Preview
Sacramento State has a 2-8 record and a 1-6 record in the MAC. They are coming off a 20-17 home loss against Toledo and will face Hawaii next.
Offensively, Sacramento State averages 17.0 points per game, ranking 133rd in the nation, while defensively, they allow 29.3 points per game, which is 107th. Sacramento State averages 288.7 total yards per game (191.1 passing and 97.6 rushing), while allowing 356.4 total yards per game (173.9 rushing and 182.5 passing). They average 64.5 plays per game and 4.5 yards per play on offense, while allowing 61.6 plays per game and 5.8 yards per play on defense. Sacramento State averages 16.9 first downs per game on offense and 19.4 first downs per game on defense. They are averaging 1.6 turnovers per game and forcing 1.1 turnovers per game.
Jackson Sharman leads Sacramento State with 1,476 passing yards with 56.0% completed passes and 9 touchdowns. Isaiah Ene leads the team in rushing yards with 411, while Matthew Coleman has a team-high 538 receiving yards and 46 receptions. Defensively, Boogsie Silvera has a team-high 78 total tackles (36 of them solo), while Miles Bailey leads the team with 2.0 sacks.
Sacramento State Hornets @ Central Michigan Chippewas Betting Trends: Week 11
Central Michigan Chippewas Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 11, Langston Lewis leads Central Michigan for receptions (24) this season.
Sacramento State Hornets Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 11, Carson Conklin has the most passing yards without a passing touchdown this season (222).
Matchup/League Facts
- Central Michigan ranks T133rd among FBS teams for H1 points per game this season (8.0).
- Central Michigan ranks 130th among FBS teams for yards per game this season (305.6).
- Sacramento State has recorded fewer total yards than its opponents in each of its last eight games – equal-longest active streak in the FBS.
- Sacramento State ranks 136th among FBS teams for H1 points per game this season (7.9).


