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Sam Houston State vs Air Force Prediction Football Picks 9-9-23
Sam Houston State Bearkats (0-1) vs Air Force Falcons (1-0)
2023-09-09 20:00:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Sam Houston State Bearkats +14.5 -- Over/Under: 37.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Air Force Falcons and the Sam Houston State Bearkats meet in week 2 college football action from NRG Stadium on Saturday night.
Air Force Runs Over Robert Morris
The Air Force Falcons got their season started right thanks to a 42-7 dismantling of Robert Morris in their season opener. Zac Larrier threw for 95 yards and a touchdown on 2 of 3 passing while also rushing for 99 yards and a pair of touchdowns. John Lee Eldridge III had 4 carries for 72 yards and Dylan Carson had 50 rushing yards while Owen Burk, Jensen Jones and Cade Harris each had a rushing TD. Jared Roznos had both receptions for Air Force with his 95 yards and a touchdown. On defense, Johnathan Youngblood had a team-high 7 total tackles while PJ Ramsey and James Tomasi each had a sack in the winning effort.
Air Force Falcons Team Facts
– Air Force has won each of its last seven games against non-conference opponents.
– Air Force has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games against non-conference opponents.
– Air Force has won the first half in six of its last seven games against non-conference opponents.
– Air Force has won the first quarter in each of its last seven games against non-conference opponents.
– Six of Air Force’s last seven games as a favorite have gone UNDER the total points line.
Sam Houston State Shut Out By BYU
The Sam Houston State Bearkats didn’t have the best FBS debut, getting taken down by BYU by a final score of 14-0. Keegan Shoemaker threw for 147 yards and 3 touchdowns on 18 of 33 passing while John Gentry rushed for a team-high 19 yards. Noah Smith had a team-high 3 catches for 44 yards while Ife Adeyi had 3 grabs of his own for 28 yards. On defense, Trevor Williams led the Bearkats with 13 total tackles in the losing effort.
Sam Houston State Bearkats Team Facts
– Sam Houston State has lost each of its last eight games.
– Sam Houston State has lost the first half in each of its last seven games against non-conference opponents.
– Three of Sam Houston State’s last four games in September have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
– Air Force ranked 1st among FBS teams for Q1 points allowed per game last season (2.0).
– Air Force ranked 1st among FBS teams for Q3 points allowed per game last season (1.5).
Chris’ Pick
I’m looking at Sam Houston State and the points here. I just don’t feel comfortable laying this many points on the road with an Air Force team that of all the service academies, still look like they’re staying with the option offense, and even then, Air Force at times plays to win games with their defense. I think this is a spot where Sam Houston State getting back home can be the difference here. Sam Houston State’s legit and we just didn’t see it in the opener. Give me the Bearkats and the points here.