The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders and the Sam Houston State Bearkats meet in college football action from Elliott T. Bowers Stadium on Saturday afternoon. This is our Middle Tennessee vs Sam Houston Prediction.

Middle Tennessee On Back-To-Back Wins

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders come into this one looking to build on back-to-back wins after a 34-30 loss to UTEP last time out. Nicholas Vattiato has thrown for 2,851 yards, 23 touchdowns and 10 INTs on 65.7% passing while Jaiden Credle leads the Blue Raiders on the ground with 409 rushing yards and 2 TDs. Holden Willis has a team-high 657 receiving yards and 5 TDs while Elijah Metcalf has a team-high 52 receptions and 6 touchdowns with his 606 receiving yards. Justin Olson also has 43 grabs for 450 yards, while another pair of Blue Raiders have 200+ receiving yards. On defense, Sam Brumfield has a team-high 79 total tackles along with 3.5 sacks while Tra Fluellen has 64 total tackles and 3 interceptions. As a unit, Middle Tennessee has combined for 22 sacks and 7 interceptions this season.

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Team Facts

Middle Tennessee has lost each of its last five road games.
Middle Tennessee has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six November games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
Seven of Middle Tennessee’s last eight games as a road favorite have gone OVER the total points line.

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Sam Houston State Falls Short Vs. WKU

The Sam Houston State Bearkats come into this one looking to rebound after coming up just short against Western Kentucky last time out by a final count of 28-23. Keegan Shoemaker has thrown for 2,309 yards, 15 touchdowns and 10 interceptions on 62.8% passing while also rushing for 248 yards. John Gentry has 324 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns to lead the Bearkats’ backfield while Noah Smith has a team-high 77 receptions for 775 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns. Malik Phillips has 402 receiving yards while Al’vonte Woodard has 312 receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Trevor Williams has a team-high 123 total tackles while Issiah Nixon has a team-high 4 sacks and Da’Marcus Crosby has 4 interceptions as well this season.

Sam Houston State Bearkats Team Facts

Sam Houston State has lost 16 of its last 18 games.
The road team has covered the spread in each of Sam Houston State’s last five games.
Each of Sam Houston State’s last four home games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.

Chris’ Pick

I’m leaning towards Sam Houston State here. I’ve still got my concerns about the Blue Raiders’ defense, and Sam Houston State nearly came into this game on a three-game win streak had it not been for a mistake in the red zone late and the Bearkats look like they’ve finally figured out how good it feels to have success at this level after struggling through the early part of the season. I think we’re getting some value on Sam Houston here so give me the Bearkats and the points.