College Football

Sam Houston vs Western Kentucky Prediction 10-16-24 College Football Picks

WKU Hilltoppers (4-2) vs. Sam Houston State Bearkats (5-1)
October 16, 2024 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Sam Houston State Bearkats -2.5 / WKU Hilltoppers +2.5; Over/Under: +55.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers and the Sam Houston Bearkats meet in week 8 college football action from Elliott T. Bowers Stadium on Wednesday night. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Sam Houston vs Western Kentucky Prediction.

Western Kentucky Recap

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers come into this one looking to build on a 44-17 win over UTEP last time out. After this game, Western Kentucky will head home for a matchup against Kennesaw State.

Hilltoppers Trying To Stake Claim For C-USA Title Spot

Caden Veltkamp has thrown for 1,147 yards, 11 touchdowns, and 5 INTs on 69.6% passing. Elijah Young leads WKU on the ground with 278 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns while Kisean Johnson has 34 receptions for 474 yards and 4 TDs. Easton Messer has 342 receiving yards while River Helms, Dalvin Smith, and the aforementioned Young each have 150+ receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Devonte’ Mathews has a team-high 27 total tackles and 2 interceptions while Hosea Wheeler and Anthony Johnson Jr. each have 27 total tackles as well WKU’s defense as a whole has combined for 12 sacks and 5 INTs this season.

Why the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers will win

  • Western Kentucky has won seven of its last eight games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Western Kentucky has covered the spread in each of its last seven games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Sam Houston State has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four October games against non-AP-ranked teams.

Sam Houston Recap

The Sam Houston Bearkats come into this game looking to build on their four-game win streak, sitting at 5-1 thanks to a 41-21 win over UTEP last time out. After this game, Sam Houston will go out on the road to take on FIU.

Bearkats Showing Signs Of Improvement In Year Two At FBS Level

Hunter Watson has thrown for 859 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions on 59.1% passing while also rushing for a team-high 370 yards and 4 touchdowns. Jay Ducker has 348 rushing yards and 5 TDs and DJ McKinney’s chipped in 348 rushing yards as well on the year. Qua’Vez Humphreys also has a team-high 281 receiving yards and 4 TDs while Ife Adeyi has a team-high 17 grabs for 177 yards and Simeon Evans has 174 receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Caleb Weaver has a team-high 38 total tackles including 29 solo tackles and 3 interceptions while has a team-high 3.5 sacks. As a unit, Sam Houston’s defense has combined for 10 sacks and 7 interceptions as well on the year.

Why the Sam Houston State Bearkats will win

  • Western Kentucky has lost each of its last seven October games as an underdog.
  • Sam Houston State has won each of its last four games.
  • Sam Houston State has covered the spread in eight of its last nine games.
  • Western Kentucky has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four October games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.

Sam Houston vs Western Kentucky Prediction

I’m on the over here. I’m still a bit suspicious about WKU’s defense and I don’t know if they’ll be able to slow down Sam Houston here, who has been consistent and balanced across the board offensively. On the other side, Western Kentucky’s been able to score on pretty much anyone this season and I think this game ends up being fairly high-scoring. Give me the over here.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Over 55.5

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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