San Diego State vs Air Force Prediction 11-30-24 College Football Picks

In this article, we will formulate a San Diego State vs Air Force prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, November 30th at Snapdragon Stadium in San Diego, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 14 matchup. 

San Diego State Aztecs Betting Preview

The San Diego State Aztecs are 3-8 (2-4) this year after they lost to Utah State by a score of 41-20 in their last game. San Diego State led 13-0 in the second quarter, but they allowed the next 41 points for the loss. The Aztecs were outgained by a total of 489-412, won the turnover battle 1-0, and went 6-16 on third down in the game. Danny O’Neil threw for 199 yards, while Marquez Cooper rushed for 118 yards and one score. 

Prior to that loss, the Aztecs lost four games in a row against UNLV, New Mexico, Boise State, and Washington State. The SDSU offense has scored 22.2 points per game with 202.9 passing yards and 129.7 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 29.5 points per game this season. Danny O’Neil has completed 62.1% of his passes for 1,951 yards, 11 touchdowns, and six interceptions, while Marquez Cooper has rushed for 1,180 yards and 10 scores. 

Air Force Falcons Betting Preview

The Air Force Falcons are 4-7 (2-4) this season after they defeated Nevada by a score of 22-19 in their last game. Air Force trailed 12-7 in the fourth quarter, but they scored the first 15 points in the quarter for the win. The Falcons were outgained by a total of 362-319, tied the turnover battle at one, and went 11-16 on third down in the game. Quentin Hayes threw for zero yards and one interception, while Owen Allen rushed for 107 yards and one score. 

Prior to that win, the Falcons defeated Oregon State by a score of 28-0 and Fresno State by a score of 36-28. The Air Force offense has scored 18 points per game with 86.3 passing yards and 219.3 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 23.5 points per game this season. Quentin Hayes has completed 57.1% of his passes for 379 yards, two touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Dylan Carson has rushed for 475 yards and three scores. 

Why Air Force will beat San Diego State

• San Diego State has lost eight of its last nine games in November.
• Air Force has won each of its last three games.
• Air Force has covered the spread in each of its last four games.
• San Diego State has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games.
• San Diego State has lost the first half in each of its last four games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of San Diego State’s last four November games as an underdog has gone OVER the total points line.
• Four of Air Force’s last five November games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• San Diego State ranks T124th among FBS teams for 1st downs against this season (257).
• San Diego State ranks 124th among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (27:02).
• Air Force ranks 134th among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (0.8).
• Air Force ranks 133rd among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (86.3).

San Diego State vs Air Force Prediction

Air Force comes into this game on a three-game winning streak and they have really turned their season around. The Falcons looked pretty lost in their first eight games of the season, but they have been much better recently. San Diego State has lost five games in a row and they have allowed at least 41 points in three of their last four. The Aztecs have also scored 20 points or fewer in three straight games, so they aren’t having much success on either side of the ball. I really thought Air Force was going to be a team to fade down the stretch, but they are playing some solid ball. Take the Falcons here.