UNLV vs Nevada Prediction 11-30-24 College Football Picks
Nevada Wolf Pack (3-9) vs. UNLV Rebels (9-2)
November 30, 2024 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: UNLV Rebels -17.5 / Nevada Wolf Pack +17.5; Over/Under: +56.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Nevada Wolf Pack and UNLV Rebels meet Saturday in week 14 college football action at Allegiant Stadium. Here’s a UNLV vs Nevada Prediction. This article will include a UNLV vs Nevada Pick.
Nevada Wolf Pack Betting Preview
The Nevada Wolf Pack lost to Boise State and Air Force. Nevada has 4 straight road games. Brendon Lewis is completing 66.9 percent of his passes for 1,998 yards, 14 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. Jaden Smith and Cortez Braham Jr. have combined for 1,425 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns, while Marcus Bellon has 33 receptions.
The Nevada Wolf Pack ground game is averaging 187.6 yards per contest, and Lewis leads the way with 745 yards and 8 touchdowns. Defensively, Nevada is allowing 27.6 points and 392.4 yards per game. Kitan Crawford leads the Nevada Wolf Pack with 72 tackles, Henry Ikahihifo has 3.5 sacks and Michael Coats Jr. has 4 interceptions.
UNLV Rebels Betting Preview
The UNLV Rebels beat San Diego State and San Jose State. The UNLV Rebels have won 3 of their last 5 home games. Hajj-Malik Williams is completing 63.8 percent of his passes for 1,567 yards, 15 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Ricky White III and Jacob De Jesus have combined for 1,337 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns, while Jaden Bradley has 7 receptions.
The UNLV Rebels ground game is averaging 251.4 yards per contest, and Jai’Den Thomas leads the way with 698 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, UNLV is allowing 22.6 points and 383.1 yards per game. Jackson Woodard leads the UNLV Rebels with 108 tackles, Antonio Doyle Jr. has 5 sacks and Jalen Catalon has 5 interceptions.
Why the UNLV Rebels will win
- Nevada has lost each of its last 10 games in November.
- UNLV has won nine of its last 10 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Nevada has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games.
- The favorite has covered the spread in three of the last four games between Nevada and UNLV.
- UNLV has won the first quarter in each of its last six games against conference opponents.
- Nevada has lost the first half in three of its last four games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of UNLV’s last six games against non-AP-ranked teams at Allegiant Stadium has gone OVER the total points line.
- Four of Nevada’s last five November games as an underdog have gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- UNLV ranks T6th among FBS teams for interceptions this season (16).
- UNLV ranks 7th among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (245.3).
- Nevada ranks 131st among FBS teams for 1st downs against this season (268).
- Nevada ranks 13th among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (91.7).
UNLV vs Nevada Prediction
The UNLV Rebels are the better team, obviously, and more than capable of blowing the doors off. However, let’s not overlook the Nevada Wolf Pack. Nevada doesn’t win games, but the Wolf Pack have seen 6 of their 9 losses decided by one score. Nevada just lost to Air Force by 3 points and Boise State by a touchdown. Nevada doesn’t get the results it wants, but it competes, and that’s all we’re asking in this spot. Give me the points.