College Football

San Jose State vs San Diego State Prediction Football Picks Today 11/22/25

San José State Spartans (3-7) vs. San Diego State Aztecs (8-2)
November 22, 2025 10:30 pm EDT
The Line: San Diego State Aztecs -535 / San José State Spartans 400; Over/Under: 49.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a San Jose State vs San Diego State Prediction for this College Football Week 13 game on Saturday, November 22nd. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

San Diego State Aztecs Preview

San Diego State has a 8-2 record this season and is sitting 1st in the MWC. They are 8-2 ATS, 3-7 in Over/Under and have a 5-0 home record and a 3-2 away record. San Diego State is coming off a 17-7 home win against Boise State and will face New Mexico next.

Offensively, San Diego State averages 25.4 points per game, ranking 82nd in the nation, while defensively, they allow 12.5 points per game, which is 4th. San Diego State averages 349.8 total yards per game (160.1 passing and 189.7 rushing), while allowing 262.4 total yards per game (100.2 rushing and 162.2 passing).

Jayden Denegal leads San Diego State with 1,564 passing yards with 59.6% completed passes and 8 touchdowns. Lucky Sutton leads the team in rushing yards with 1,048, while Jordan Napier has a team-high 48 receptions for 629 receiving yards. Defensively, Owen Chambliss has a team-high 93 total tackles (53 of them solo), while Trey White leads the team in sacks, with 6, and Chris Johnson has a team-high 3 interceptions.

San Jose State Spartans Preview

San Jose State has a 3-7 record this season and is sitting 10th in the MWC. They are 4-6 ATS, 6-4 in Over/Under and have a 3-2 home record and a 0-5 away record. San Jose State is coming off a 55-10 road loss against Nevada and will face Fresno State next.

Offensively, San Jose State averages 24.0 points per game, ranking 93rd in the nation, while defensively, they allow 32.4 points per game, which is 123rd. San Jose State averages 432.8 total yards per game (313.8 passing and 119.0 rushing), while allowing 418.9 total yards per game (146.5 rushing and 272.4 passing).

Walker Eget leads San Jose State with 3,015 passing yards with 59.2% completed passes and 17 touchdowns. Lamar Radcliffe leads the team in rushing yards with 340, while Danny Scudero has a team-high 72 receptions for 1,155 receiving yards. Defensively, Jordan Pollard has a team-high 77 total tackles (40 of them solo), while Vili Taufatofua leads the team in sacks, with 4, and Jalen Apalit-Williams has a team-high 1 interception.

San Jose State Spartans @ San Diego State Aztecs Betting Trends: Week 13

 

Why the San Diego State Aztecs will win

  • San Jose State has lost each of its last 10 games as an underdog in California.
  • San Diego State has won each of its last six games in California.
  • San Diego State has covered the spread in each of its last six games in California.
  • San Jose State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five road games against conference opponents.
  • San Diego State has won the first half in five of its last six games against conference opponents.

Why the San Jose State Spartans will win

  • San Jose State has won seven of its last nine November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • San Diego State has lost 10 of its last 13 games in November.
  • San Jose State has covered the spread in eight of its last nine November games as a road underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • San Diego State has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games as a home favorite against teams from California.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of San Diego State’s last nine November games as a home favorite have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Each of San Jose State’s last four games as an underdog against San Diego State have gone UNDER the total points line.

San Diego State Aztecs Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 13, Lucky Sutton is one of only five players in the FBS to record 1,000 rushing yards with less than 200 attempts this season.

San Jose State Spartans Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 13, Danny Scudero ranks 1st amongst FBS players for receiving yards (1155) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • San Diego State ranks T3rd among FBS teams for H2 opponent points per game this season (5.5).
  • San Diego State ranks 4th among FBS teams for points allowed per game this season (12.5).
  • Seven of San Jose State’s 10 games this season have been decided by a margin of seven points or less – equal-most amongst FBS teams.
  • San Jose State ranks 4th among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (314.5).

San Jose State vs San Diego State Prediction

In this San Jose State vs San Diego State Prediction, San Diego State is coming as -11.5-point home favorites. Both teams have been on opposite trajectories throughout this season, as the hosts have been excellent and are 7-1 in their last 8 games and perfect in their 5 games played at home. On the flip side, San Jose State has been terrible this season and winless on the road and is 1-4 in its last 5 games. San Diego State has the 4th-best defense in the entire country and I expect them to win this one comfortably.

Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: San Diego State -11.5

Need More? Get Premium Picks

Related Articles

Back to top button