Baylor Bears (0-1) vs. SMU Mustangs (1-0)
September 6, 2025 12:00 pm EDT
The Line: SMU Mustangs -2.5 / Baylor Bears +2.5; Over/Under: 64.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Baylor Bears and the SMU Mustangs meet in week 2 college football action from Gerald J. Ford Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Baylor Bears vs. SMU Mustangs prediction.
Baylor Bears Recap
The Baylor Bears come into this game looking to rebound from a 38-24 loss at the hands of the Auburn Tigers to start the year. 0-1. After this game, Baylor will head home for a game against Samford.
Bears Looking To Bounce Back In Road Debut
Sawyer Robertson threw for 419 yards and 3 TDs on 27 of 48 passing while Bryson Washington led the Bears on the ground with 54 rushing yards as well in the loss. Kole Wilson had a team-high 8 receptions for 134 yards and Michael Trigg added 7 grabs for 99 yards and a score. Ashtyn Hawkins added 4 grabs for 70 receiving yards while Kobe Prentice and Caden Knighten each had a touchdown as well through the air. On defense, Keaton Thomas led Baylor with 15 total tackles including 10 solo tackles while Kendrick Simpkins had Baylor’s lone sack in the loss.
Why the Baylor Bears will win
- Baylor has won each of its last four games against teams from Texas.
- Baylor has covered the spread in each of its last four games against teams from Texas.
- SMU has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games against opponents from the Big 12 Conference.
SMU Mustangs Recap
The SMU Mustangs come into this game looking to add on to their 42-13 win over East Texas A&M last time out to start the year 1-0. After this game, the Mustangs will head on the road for a game against Missouri State.
Mustangs Pick Up Where They Left Off Vs. ETAMU
Kevin Jennings threw for 260 yards, 2 touchdowns and an interception on 22 of 30 passing while Chris Johnson Jr. rushed for 44 yards and a touchdown and Jennings had a rushing TD of his own. Romeo Brinson led the Mustangs with 7 receptions for 121 yards and a touchdown while Jalen Cooper added 5 receptions for 73 yards and a score. On defense, Brandon Miyazono added 8 total tackles while Cameron Robinson, Kevin Allen and Terry Webb all had sacks in the win and Ahmaad Moses and Alexander Kilgore each had a pick-six for the SMU defense in the win.
Why the SMU Mustangs will win
- Baylor has lost each of its last 10 games against AP-ranked teams.
- SMU has won each of its last eight games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Baylor has failed to cover the spread in nine of its last 10 games against AP-ranked teams.
- SMU has covered the spread in five of its last six home games against teams from Texas.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Baylor’s last four September games as an underdog against AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Four of SMU’s last five games have gone UNDER the total points line.
Baylor Bears vs. SMU Mustangs Prediction
I’m on the over here. You have two teams that can pile on the points and two teams that have coaching staffs that like to run and gun and take it up and down the field. I think this game ends up being no different, so give me the over in this one.
