College Football

SMU vs TCU Prediction 9-21-24 College Football Picks

TCU Horned Frogs (2-1) vs. SMU Mustangs (2-1)
September 21, 2024 5:00 pm EDT
The Line: SMU Mustangs +2.5; Over/Under: 58.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate an SMU vs TCU prediction for this College Football Week 4 game on Saturday, September 21st, at Gerald J Ford Stadium.  Let’s take a look at an SMU Mustangs vs TCU Horned Frogs pick. 

TCU Looks to Bounce Back

TCU won the first two games of the season, Stanford and LIU, but in the last game against Central Florida, they fell short. TCU had a comfortable lead heading into the 4th quarter, but they were outscored 15-3 and that led to the defeat. Even though TCU lost, Josh Hoover had a huge game against UCF, completing 35 of his 52 passes for 402 yards and four touchdowns. Wide receiver Jack Bech also finished with nine catches for 200 yards and a touchdown. 

One area where TCU’s offense struggled was the running game. Cam Cook was the top back, rushing 11 times for 35 yards. The defense also really struggled, and they are going to need it to be better. They allowed RJ Harvey to rush 29 times for 180 yards and two touchdowns. The defense has to be better, or this could be a long game. 

SMU Looks to Bounce Back

SMU won the first two games of the season, but they struggled in the last game. In the first game of the season, SMU won 59-7 and in the last game against Houston Christian, they won 59-7. In the last game against BYU, though, SMU scored only 15 points, but the defense gave up 18 points and that led to the defeat. The offense got to a slow start and in the second half, they scored only six points on the way to the defeat. 

Quarterback Kevin Jennings wasn’t all that dynamic, and he completed 15 of his 32 passes for 140 yards, zero touchdowns, and one interception. Brashard Smith finished with 14 carries for 75 yards. The defense did have two interceptions. In this game, SMU needs to find a way to get the offense going or this is going to be a long game. 

Why SMU Will Beat TCU

  • SMU has won 10 of its last 11 home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • TCU has lost three of its last four road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • TCU has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games.
  • SMU has covered the spread in four of its last five games at Gerald J. Ford Stadium.

SMU vs TCU Prediction

SMU can find success in this game, and that’s exactly what they will do. TCU’s defense hasn’t been exactly elite this season, and this is a perfect game for SMU to bounce back in. SMU has proven they have a good offense, and they are going to get out to a fast offensive start, and that will be the difference here. SMU is at home and their home crowd is going to get them over the finish line. Back SMU against the spread.

Shane Mickle's Free Pick: SMU +2.5

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Shane Mickle

Sports is about all Shane knows in this life! He has a passion for sports and writing, which makes working for Sportschatplace a perfect job for him! If you find him cheering for a team it's usually a Minnesota team, or the Kansas Jayhawks!

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